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LaLiga2
Referee: Saúl Ais
Lugo
T U S T T
1–0
Full-time
Granada
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,3
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
20%
45%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
35%
30%
Both score Ø 33%
50%
15%
Average goals
2,2
1,9
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
8 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 8
2 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lugo 20. · Granada 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 20 10 6 4 +7 36
2 Las Palmas 20 9 8 3 +11 35
3 Levante 20 9 8 3 +9 35
4 Burgos 20 9 7 4 +8 34
5 Alaves 20 9 7 4 +3 34
6 Granada 20 9 5 6 +10 32
7 Cartagena 20 9 5 6 +5 32
8 Andorra 21 8 5 8 +5 29
9 Albacete 20 7 8 5 -2 29
10 Villarreal B 20 7 7 6 -1 28
11 Sp Gijon 20 6 9 5 +1 27
12 Leganes 20 7 6 7 +1 27
13 Huesca 20 7 6 7 -1 27
14 Zaragoza 20 6 7 7 +0 25
15 Tenerife 21 6 7 8 -2 25
16 Oviedo 20 6 6 8 -3 24
17 Mirandes 20 5 8 7 -3 23
18 Ponferradina 20 5 6 9 -8 21
19 Santander 20 4 6 10 -7 18
20 Lugo 20 4 6 10 -9 18
21 Malaga 20 3 7 10 -10 16
22 Ibiza 20 4 4 12 -14 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugo Granada
1–0 Miguel Loureiro
Zé Ricardo
12′
22′
🟨 Miguel Rubio
32′
🟨 Óscar Melendo
39′
🟥 Miguel Rubio
VAR: Red card cancelled
40′
🟨 Miguel Rubio
40′
🟥 Miguel Rubio
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Njegoš Petrović
46′
🔁 E. Cabaco
↦ Jorge Molina
46′
🔁 Alberto Perea
↦ N. Petrović
47′
🟨 Víctor Díaz
Jaume Cuéllar 🟨
53′
Jose Ricardo 🟨
66′
Ángel Baena 🔁
↦ J. Cuéllar
73′
Josep Señé 🟨
74′
El Hacen 🟨
75′
Marc Carbó 🔁
↦ M. El Hacen
78′
O. Lebedenko 🔁
↦ Sebas Moyano
78′
78′
🔁 Bryan Zaragoza
↦ Ricard Sánchez
78′
🔁 Quini
↦ Óscar Melendo
Manu Barreiro 🔁
↦ Chris Ramos
89′
89′
🔁 Alberto Soro
↦ Víctor Meseguer
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lugo

4-3-3
13 Óscar Whalley G
15 Miguel Loureiro D
14 Xavi Torres D
21 Alberto Rodríguez D
12 Zé Ricardo D
18 M. El Hacen M
4 Clavería M
8 Josep Señé M
29 J. Cuéllar F
16 Chris Ramos F
7 Sebas Moyano F
Bench (10)
11 Ángel Baena
22 Marc Carbó
19 O. Lebedenko
9 Manu Barreiro
17 N. Lozano
24 Álex Pérez
1 P. Sequeira
23 Jordi Calavera
20 Bruno Pirri
28 Dani Vidal

Coach: Fran Justo

Granada

4-3-3
1 Raúl Fernández G
30 Ricard Sánchez D
4 Miguel Rubio D
16 Víctor Díaz D
15 Carlos Neva D
18 N. Petrović M
12 Víctor Meseguer M
21 Óscar Melendo M
9 José Callejón F
19 Jorge Molina F
11 M. Uzuni F
Bench (11)
24 E. Cabaco
22 Alberto Perea
26 Bryan Zaragoza
17 Quini
7 Alberto Soro
6 Y. Bodiger
8 M. Arezo
20 Sergio Ruiz
29 Pepe Sánchez
5 J. Silva
33 Adrián López

Coach: Karanka

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,81
U
3,15
B
2,06
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,45
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.