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KNVB Beker

Willem II

T S U T S

1–5

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,2

2,0

Scored

2,5

0,5

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — KNVB Beker · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

7,0

Scored

7,0

5,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+7,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,28 xG 2,53

37% Possession 63%

15 Shots 17

8 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 29. · Sparta Rotterdam 32. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	De Treffers	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.0	9
2	Hoogeveen	4	3	0	1	+4	–	9
3	Hoek	4	3	0	1	+1	–	9
4	Hsc 21	4	3	0	1	-1	-2.7	9
5	Sportlust '46	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.0	7
6	SC Genemuiden	4	2	1	1	+0	–	7
7	Waalwijk	2	2	0	0	+10	+2.7	6
8	Telstar	2	2	0	0	+8	–	6
9	Twente	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.4	6
10	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
11	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+4	–	6
12	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
13	Spakenburg	3	2	0	1	+3	-1.4	6
14	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
15	Almere City	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
16	Volendam	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
17	Halsteren	3	2	0	1	+2	–	6
18	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
19	Dovo	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
20	ROHDA Raalte	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
21	Gemert	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
22	Excelsior Maassluis	3	2	0	1	+0	–	6
23	GVVV Veenendaal	3	2	0	1	+0	–	6
24	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+0	–	6
25	FC Lisse	3	2	0	1	-1	–	6
26	Roda	2	1	1	0	+4	–	4
27	Den Bosch	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
28	Barendrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
29	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+7	–	3
30	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	–	3
31	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	–	3
32	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
33	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
34	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
35	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
36	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
37	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
38	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
39	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
40	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
41	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
42	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
43	Roosendaal	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
44	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
45	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
46	't Zand	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
47	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
48	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
49	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
50	HHC	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
51	FC OSS	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
52	AFC Amsterdam	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
53	HZVV	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
54	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
55	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
56	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	–	3
57	Groene Ster	2	0	2	0	+0	–	2
58	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
59	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
60	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
61	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
62	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
63	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
64	VV Scherpenzeel	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
65	Katwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
66	Blauw Geel	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
67	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
68	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
69	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
70	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
71	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
72	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
73	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
74	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
75	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
76	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
77	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
78	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
79	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
80	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
81	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
82	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
83	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
84	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
85	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
86	MVV	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
87	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
88	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
89	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
90	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
91	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
92	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
93	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
94	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
95	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
96	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
97	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
98	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
99	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
100	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
101	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
102	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
103	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-4	–	0
104	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
105	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
106	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
107	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
108	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	–	0
109	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-7	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hoek	4	3	0	1	+1	–	9
2	Hoogeveen	2	2	0	0	+6	–	6
3	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+5	–	6
4	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+4	–	6
5	Halsteren	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
6	ROHDA Raalte	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
7	FC Lisse	3	2	0	1	-1	–	6
8	Hsc 21	3	2	0	1	-4	-2.7	6
9	Sportlust '46	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.0	4
10	Den Bosch	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
11	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+7	–	3
12	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+5	–	3
13	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	–	3
14	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
15	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
16	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
17	Kloetinge	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
18	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
19	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
20	't Zand	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
21	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
22	SVV Scheveningen	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
23	Spakenburg	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.4	3
24	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
25	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
26	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
27	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
28	Capelle	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
29	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
30	Sparta Nijkerk	2	1	0	1	-1	–	3
31	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	-4	–	3
32	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
33	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
34	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
35	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
36	Katwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
37	Blauw Geel	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
38	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
39	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
40	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
41	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
42	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
43	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
44	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
45	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
46	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
47	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
48	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
49	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
50	Roosendaal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
51	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
52	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
53	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
54	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
55	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
56	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
57	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
58	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
59	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
60	HHC	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
61	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
62	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
63	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
64	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
65	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
66	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
67	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
68	HZVV	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
69	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Telstar	2	2	0	0	+8	–	6
2	Twente	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.4	6
3	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+4	–	6
4	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
5	Almere City	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
6	Barendrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
7	SC Genemuiden	3	1	1	1	-1	–	4
8	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+9	+2.7	3
9	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	–	3
10	Roda	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
11	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
12	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
13	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
14	Hsc 21	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
15	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	–	3
16	HZVV	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
17	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
18	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
19	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
20	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
21	Roosendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
22	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
23	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
24	FC OSS	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
25	Meerssen	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
26	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
27	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
28	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
29	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
30	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
31	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
32	Sparta Nijkerk	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
33	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
34	Sportlust '46	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
35	Gemert	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
36	Dovo	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
37	Hoogeveen	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
38	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
39	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
40	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	–	3
41	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
42	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
43	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
44	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
45	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
46	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
47	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
48	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
49	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
50	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
51	Katwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
52	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
53	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
54	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
55	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
56	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
57	Halsteren	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
58	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
59	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
60	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
61	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
62	MVV	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
63	't Zand	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
64	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
65	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
66	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
67	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
68	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
69	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
70	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
71	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0
72	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
73	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
74	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
75	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	–	0
76	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	–	0
77	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-7	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.