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Conference League
Referee: G Kruashvili
AEK
S S S S S
3–2
Full-time
Universitatea Craiova
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Universitatea Craiova
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
2,7
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
55%
55%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
45%
64%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,41 xG 1,34
52% Possession 48%
19 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
6 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

AEK Universitatea Craiova
Domagoj Vida 🟨
5′
30′
⚽ S. Baiaram 0–1
M. Etim
Half-time 0–2
59′
⚽ A. Cicaldau 0–2
A. Al Hamlawi
D. Kutesa 🔁
↦ R. Pereyra
64′
N. Eliasson 🔁
↦ P. Mantalos
64′
1–2 D. Vida ⚽
R. Marin
65′
66′
🔁 C. Mora
↦ M. Etim
72′
🟨 Ștefan Baiaram
J. Penrice 🔁
↦ S. Pilios
77′
80′
🔁 A. Cretu
↦ S. Baiaram
80′
🔁 L. Houri
↦ A. Cicaldau
Dereck Kutesa 🟨
82′
82′
🟨 Samuel Teles
2–2 D. Kutesa ⚽
N. Eliasson
90′
3–2 L. Jovic ⚽
90′
M. Grujic 🔁
↦ R. Marin
91′
92′
🟨 Alexandru Crețu
94′
🟨 Pavlo Isenko
96′
🔁 V. Mogos
↦ A. Mekvabishvili
96′
🔁 N. Stevanovic
↦ Teles
101′
🟨 Nicușor Bancu
Lazaros Rota 🟨
102′
Domagoj Vida ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
103′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

AEK

4-4-1-1
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
44 F. Relvas D
3 S. Pilios D
13 O. Pineda M
18 R. Marin M
20 P. Mantalos M
37 R. Pereyra M
11 A. Koita F
9 L. Jovic F
Bench (8)
81 A. Angelopoulos
91 A. Brignoli
4 M. Grujic
7 D. Kutesa
19 N. Eliasson
29 J. Penrice
34 C. Kosidis
55 K. Chrysopoulos

Coach: Marko Nikolic

Universitatea Craiova

5-4-1
77 P. Isenko G
23 Teles D
3 O. Romanchuk D
6 V. Screciu D
15 J. Badelj D
11 N. Bancu D
12 M. Etim M
5 A. Mekvabishvili M
20 A. Cicaldau M
10 S. Baiaram M
9 A. Al Hamlawi F
Bench (12)
1 S. J. Lung
21 L. Popescu
2 F. Stefan
4 A. Cretu
14 L. Houri
17 C. Mora
19 V. Mogos
24 N. Stevanovic
29 L. Basceanu
30 D. Matei
38 D. Muntean
39 S. Nsimba

Coach: Filipe Coelho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kruashvili · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.