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Conference League
Referee: S Ebner
AZ Alkmaar
S T S U S
0–0
Full-time
Jagiellonia
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Jagiellonia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 64%
73%
55%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
64%
45%
Both score Ø 46%
27%
64%
Average goals
3,4
2,4
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,18 xG 0,12
66% Possession 34%
14 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 1
9 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Jagiellonia
4′
🔁 Y. Kobayashi
↦ D. Stojinovic
Mateo Chávez 🟨
18′
Half-time 0–0
46′
ℹ️ Taras Romanczuk
VAR: Penalty cancelled
R. Daal 🔁
↦ Weslley Patati
60′
63′
🟥 Afimico Pululu
63′
ℹ️ Afimico Pululu
VAR: Card upgrade
M. Sin 🔁
↦ M. Chavez Garcia
69′
69′
🔁 B. Mazurek
↦ A. Pozo
Wouter Goes 🟨
70′
Troy Parrott 🟨
70′
76′
🔁 D. Rallis
↦ J. Imaz
Isak Steiner Jensen 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Taras Romanczuk
I. Sadiq 🔁
↦ I. Jensen
88′
E. Dijkstra 🔁
↦ W. Goes
88′
L. Zeefuik 🔁
↦ P. Koopmeiners
88′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-2-2
1 R. Owusu-Oduro G
34 M. de Wit D
3 W. Goes D
5 Penetra D
15 M. Chavez Garcia D
6 P. Koopmeiners M
26 K. Smit M
7 Weslley Patati M
17 I. Jensen M
9 T. Parrott F
10 S. Mijnans F
Bench (10)
12 H. Verhulst
41 J. Zoet
4 M. Dekker
11 I. Sadiq
21 D. Kwakman
22 E. Dijkstra
23 B. van Duijl
25 L. Zeefuik
27 R. Daal
33 M. Sin

Coach: Leeroy Echteld

Jagiellonia

4-1-3-2
50 S. Abramowicz G
15 N. Wojtuszek D
13 B. Vital D
3 D. Stojinovic D
27 B. Wdowik D
6 T. Romanczuk M
7 A. Pozo M
31 L. Flach M
80 O. Pietuszewski M
11 J. Imaz F
10 A. Pululu F
Bench (12)
22 M. Piekutowski
4 Y. Kobayashi
5 C. Polak
8 D. Drachal
9 D. Rallis
17 Y. Sylla
18 L. Prip
19 A. Cantero
21 S. Lozano
25 A. Jackson
85 E. Kozlowski
86 B. Mazurek

Coach: Adrian Siemieniec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.