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Coppa Italia
Referee: F Cosso
Monza
U U T T T
0–0
Full-time
Sudtirol
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Monza Sudtirol
36′
🟨 Tommaso Arrigoni
Half-time 0–0
Armando Izzo 🟨
64′
G. Caprari 🔁
↦ D. Maldini
68′
Pedro Pereira 🔁
↦ S. Birindelli
69′
M. Marić 🔁
↦ A. Petagna
69′
Georgios Kyriakopoulos 🟨
81′
82′
🔁 M. Praszelik
↦ A. Mallamo
82′
🔁 S. Merkaj
↦ D. Casiraghi
82′
🔁 V. Crespi
↦ R. Odogwu
S. Sensi 🔁
↦ M. Pessina
85′
Stefano Sensi 🟨
89′
121′
⚽ S. Merkaj 0–1
1–1 G. Caprari ⚽
122′
123′
⚽ S. Molina 1–2
2–2 Dany Mota ⚽
124′
125′
⚽ J. Kurtić 2–3
3–3 S. Sensi ⚽
126′
127′
⚽ T. Arrigoni 3–4
4–4 M. Marić ⚽
128′
129′
⚽ V. Crespi 4–5
5–5 L. Caldirola ⚽
130′
131′
⚽ A. Masiello 5–6
6–6 Pedro Pereira ⚽
132′
133′
⚽ S. Davì 6–7
7–7 G. Kyriakopoulos ⚽
134′
135′
⚽ L. Ceppitelli 7–8
8–8 W. Bondo ⚽
136′
137′
❌ M. Praszelik
penalty missed
9–8 A. Izzo ⚽
138′
Full-time 9–8

Line-ups

Monza

3-4-1-2
21 S. Pizzignacco G
4 A. Izzo D
22 Pablo Marí D
5 L. Caldirola D
19 S. Birindelli M
32 M. Pessina M
38 W. Bondo M
77 G. Kyriakopoulos M
14 D. Maldini F
47 Dany Mota F
37 A. Petagna F
Bench (13)
10 G. Caprari
13 Pedro Pereira
24 M. Marić
12 S. Sensi
33 D. D'Ambrosio
7 José Machín
44 A. Carboni
27 M. Valoti
23 A. Sorrentino
18 D. Bettella
70 M. D'Alessandro
80 S. Vignato
69 A. Mazza

Coach: A. Nesta

Sudtirol

3-5-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
30 A. Giorgini D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
5 A. Masiello D
79 S. Molina M
8 A. Mallamo M
4 T. Arrigoni M
27 J. Kurtić M
24 S. Davì M
90 R. Odogwu F
17 D. Casiraghi F
Bench (13)
99 M. Praszelik
33 S. Merkaj
9 V. Crespi
21 F. Tait
26 A. Cisco
3 A. Cagnano
28 R. Kofler
68 A. Vimercati
12 G. Drago
22 J. Tschöll
6 J. Martini
7 M. Rover
19 N. Pietrangeli

Coach: F. Valente

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Cosso · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.