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Serie B

Referee: Ermanno Feliciani

Empoli

S T U S T

1–1

Full-time

Spezia

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

1,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

12 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 7

21 Free kicks against 20

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Empoli 12. · Spezia 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Modena	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Cesena	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Palermo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Frosinone	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Carrarese	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Venezia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Virtus Entella	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Reggiana	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Sudtirol	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Monza	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Avellino	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Empoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Catanzaro	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Juve Stabia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Mantova	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Pescara	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Padova	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Bari	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Sampdoria	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Modena	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Monza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Sudtirol	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Juve Stabia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Carrarese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Pescara	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Padova	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Carrarese	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Frosinone	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Modena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Venezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
7	Juve Stabia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Monza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Padova	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Avellino	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Mantova	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Bari	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.