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Coupe de France
Referee: G Angoula
Grasse
S S
1–0
Full-time
La Tamponnaise
U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grasse La Tamponnaise
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,5
0,5
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
This season — Coupe de France · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,5
0,5
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Grasse 14. · La Tamponnaise 48. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Grenoble 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Pau FC 3 3 0 0 +5 9
4 Annecy 2 2 0 0 +8 6
5 Granville 2 2 0 0 +8 6
6 Vierzon FC 2 2 0 0 +8 6
7 Dunkerque 2 2 0 0 +7 6
8 Nimes 3 2 0 1 +6 6
9 Bordeaux 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 Belfort 2 2 0 0 +4 6
11 La Châtaigneraie 2 2 0 0 +4 6
12 Le Puy Foot 2 2 0 0 +3 6
13 Avranches 2 2 0 0 +3 6
14 Grasse 2 2 0 0 +3 6
15 Chateauroux 3 2 0 1 +2 6
16 Olympique St Quentin 2 2 0 0 +2 6
17 Stade Plabennec 2 2 0 0 +2 6
18 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
19 Metz 2 2 0 0 +2 6
20 Avoine OCC 2 2 0 0 +2 6
21 Évreux 27 3 2 0 1 -2 6
22 Amiens 2 1 1 0 +10 4
23 Les Herbiers 2 1 1 0 +5 4
24 Sochaux 2 1 1 0 +3 4
25 Aubagne 2 1 1 0 +3 4
26 Chamalières 2 1 1 0 +3 4
27 Caen 2 1 1 0 +3 4
28 Thaon 2 1 1 0 +3 4
29 Loon-Plage 2 1 1 0 +3 4
30 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 1 1 0 +3 4
31 Bastia 2 1 1 0 +3 4
32 Jura Sud Foot 2 1 1 0 +2 4
33 Villerupt Thil 2 1 1 0 +2 4
34 Guingamp 2 1 1 0 +2 4
35 Saint-Estève Perpignan 2 1 1 0 +2 4
36 Limonest 2 1 1 0 +2 4
37 Bellevue Nantes 2 1 1 0 +2 4
38 Valenciennes 3 1 1 1 +1 4
39 Reipertswiller 2 1 1 0 +1 4
40 Chambéry 2 1 1 0 +1 4
41 Pays de Cassel 2 1 1 0 +1 4
42 Linas-Montlhery 2 1 1 0 +1 4
43 Drancy 2 1 1 0 +1 4
44 Bergerac 2 1 1 0 +1 4
45 Niort 2 1 1 0 +1 4
46 Rodez 2 1 1 0 +1 4
47 Stade Pontivy 2 1 1 0 +1 4
48 La Tamponnaise 2 1 1 0 +1 4
49 Gobelins 2 1 0 1 +4 3
50 Villefranche 2 1 0 1 +3 3
51 Epinal 2 1 0 1 +3 3
52 Louhans-Cuiseaux 2 1 0 1 +2 3
53 Rumilly Vallières 2 1 0 1 +2 3
54 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +2 3
55 Thiers 2 1 0 1 +1 3
56 Châtellerault 2 1 0 1 +1 3
57 Vire 2 1 0 1 +1 3
58 Olympique Marcquois 2 1 0 1 +1 3
59 Lyon Duchere 2 1 0 1 +0 3
60 Colomiers 2 1 0 1 +0 3
61 Union Cosnoise 2 1 0 1 +0 3
62 Haguenau 2 1 0 1 +0 3
63 Onet-le-Château 2 1 0 1 +0 3
64 Roche Saint-Genest 2 1 0 1 +0 3
65 Boé Bon Encontre 2 1 0 1 -1 3
66 Marnaval 2 1 0 1 -1 3
67 Wasquehal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
68 Mâcon 2 1 0 1 -2 3
69 Feignies-Aulnoye 2 1 0 1 -2 3
70 Stade Béthunois 2 1 0 1 -3 3
71 Marcoussis Nozay 2 1 0 1 -5 3
72 Aiglon 2 1 0 1 -9 3
73 Alençon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
74 Hyères 2 0 2 0 +0 2
75 Oissel 2 0 2 0 +0 2
76 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 2 0 2 0 +0 2
77 Vannes 2 0 2 0 +0 2
78 Lannion 2 0 2 0 +0 2
79 Bourges Foot 18 2 0 2 0 +0 2
80 Plouvorn 2 0 2 0 +0 2
81 Le Havre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
82 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 Olympique d'Alès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 Alberes Argelès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Angoulême 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Poissy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Laval 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Toulon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Red Star 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Gueugnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Châteaubriant 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 AC Paris 15 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Le Geldar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Sporting Baie-Mahault 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Prix-lès-Mézières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Saint-Apollinaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Merpins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Saint-Pierroise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Strasbourg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Angers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 Trélissac 2 0 1 1 -1 1
113 Drapeau Fougères 2 0 1 1 -1 1
114 Orvault SF 2 0 1 1 -1 1
115 Aubervilliers 2 0 1 1 -1 1
116 Ergué-Gaberic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
117 Lège-Cap-Ferret 2 0 1 1 -3 1
118 Grand Santi 2 0 1 1 -3 1
119 Montauban TG 2 0 1 1 -4 1
120 Velay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Agde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Golden Lion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Feurs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Escaudain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Raon l'Etape 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Gallia Lucciana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Mérignac-Arlac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Saint-Priest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Grand-Quevilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Saint-Grégoire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Éperlecques 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Gandrange 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 NDC Angers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
145 SA Mérignac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
146 Les Ulis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 Vaulx 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 Villers-lès-Nancy 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Saint-Doulchard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Narbonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Andrézieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 Chartres-de-Bretagne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Fréjus St-Raphaël 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Cournon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 Lescar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
157 Basse Goulaine 1 0 0 1 -2 0
158 Pont Saintte-Maxence 1 0 0 1 -2 0
159 Auray 1 0 0 1 -2 0
160 JA Armentières 1 0 0 1 -2 0
161 Vénissieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
162 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -2 0
163 Geispolsheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
164 Illzach Modenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 Téteghem 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 Salinieres Aigues Mortes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 Beauvais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
169 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
170 Bastia-Borgo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
171 Vénus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
172 Stade Bordelais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
173 Saint-Louis Neuweg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
174 Séné 1 0 0 1 -3 0
175 Heillecourt 1 0 0 1 -4 0
176 Havre Caucriauville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
177 Mareuil 1 0 0 1 -5 0
178 Liancourt Clermont 1 0 0 1 -5 0
179 Tarentaise 1 0 0 1 -5 0
180 Diables Noirs 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grasse La Tamponnaise
1–0 Y. Gazzaoui ⚽
14′
37′
🔁 K. Adras
↦ L. Araboux
Half-time 1–0
63′
🟨 Bourahim Jaotombo
T. Badalassi 🔁
↦ A. Souda
64′
P. Puel 🔁
↦ Y. Atarsia
76′
79′
🔁 R. Sophie
↦ E. Payet
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Grasse

3-5-2
1 F. Camus G
5 S. Camara D
2 M. Corain D
4 V. Muratori D
7 Y. Gazzaoui M
10 A. Souda M
8 N. Medjian M
6 H. Ako M
3 K. Châtelain M
9 D. Guèye F
11 Y. Atarsia F
Bench (9)
20 T. Badalassi
17 P. Puel
15 P. Grandemange
18 S. Lohoues
12 A. Fernandez
13 G. Rolando
19 A. M'Changama
16 A. Roperti
14 A. Djelassi

Coach: L. Chabas

La Tamponnaise

4-4-2
1 E. Lebon G
5 W. Dany D
4 M. Randrianarisoa D
2 J. Goho D
11 L. Araboux D
7 L. Rivière M
6 E. Payet M
8 R. Nédélec M
3 B. Jaotombo M
9 J. Fontaine F
10 P. Sarr F
Bench (9)
14 K. Adras
15 R. Sophie
19 C. Payet
16 T. Pétard
17 P. N'Gongué
12 M. Sarpédon
18 Y. Lauret
13 D. Asselin
20 R. Payet

Coach: J. Bade

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Angoula · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.