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Coupe de France
Referee: E Wattellier
Avranches
S S
0–2
Full-time
Brest
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Avranches Brest
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
4 Shots 21
1 Shots on target 9
0 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 9
2 Offside 0
4 Free kicks against 14
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Grenoble 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Pau FC 3 3 0 0 +5 9
4 Grasse 3 3 0 0 +4 9
5 Évreux 27 4 2 1 1 -2 7
6 Annecy 2 2 0 0 +8 6
7 Granville 2 2 0 0 +8 6
8 Vierzon FC 2 2 0 0 +8 6
9 Dunkerque 2 2 0 0 +7 6
10 Nimes 3 2 0 1 +6 6
11 Bordeaux 2 2 0 0 +4 6
12 Belfort 2 2 0 0 +4 6
13 La Châtaigneraie 2 2 0 0 +4 6
14 Le Puy Foot 2 2 0 0 +3 6
15 Avranches 2 2 0 0 +3 6
16 Chateauroux 3 2 0 1 +2 6
17 Olympique St Quentin 2 2 0 0 +2 6
18 Stade Plabennec 2 2 0 0 +2 6
19 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
20 Metz 2 2 0 0 +2 6
21 Avoine OCC 2 2 0 0 +2 6
22 Bastia 3 1 2 0 +3 5
23 Amiens 2 1 1 0 +10 4
24 Les Herbiers 2 1 1 0 +5 4
25 Sochaux 2 1 1 0 +3 4
26 Aubagne 2 1 1 0 +3 4
27 Chamalières 2 1 1 0 +3 4
28 Caen 2 1 1 0 +3 4
29 Thaon 2 1 1 0 +3 4
30 Loon-Plage 2 1 1 0 +3 4
31 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 1 1 0 +3 4
32 Jura Sud Foot 2 1 1 0 +2 4
33 Villerupt Thil 2 1 1 0 +2 4
34 Guingamp 2 1 1 0 +2 4
35 Saint-Estève Perpignan 2 1 1 0 +2 4
36 Limonest 2 1 1 0 +2 4
37 Bellevue Nantes 2 1 1 0 +2 4
38 Valenciennes 3 1 1 1 +1 4
39 Reipertswiller 2 1 1 0 +1 4
40 Chambéry 2 1 1 0 +1 4
41 Pays de Cassel 2 1 1 0 +1 4
42 Linas-Montlhery 2 1 1 0 +1 4
43 Drancy 2 1 1 0 +1 4
44 Bergerac 2 1 1 0 +1 4
45 Niort 2 1 1 0 +1 4
46 Rodez 2 1 1 0 +1 4
47 Stade Pontivy 2 1 1 0 +1 4
48 La Tamponnaise 3 1 1 1 +0 4
49 Gobelins 2 1 0 1 +4 3
50 Villefranche 2 1 0 1 +3 3
51 Epinal 2 1 0 1 +3 3
52 Louhans-Cuiseaux 2 1 0 1 +2 3
53 Rumilly Vallières 2 1 0 1 +2 3
54 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +2 3
55 Thiers 2 1 0 1 +1 3
56 Châtellerault 2 1 0 1 +1 3
57 Vire 2 1 0 1 +1 3
58 Olympique Marcquois 2 1 0 1 +1 3
59 Lyon Duchere 2 1 0 1 +0 3
60 Colomiers 2 1 0 1 +0 3
61 Union Cosnoise 2 1 0 1 +0 3
62 Haguenau 2 1 0 1 +0 3
63 Onet-le-Château 2 1 0 1 +0 3
64 Roche Saint-Genest 2 1 0 1 +0 3
65 Boé Bon Encontre 2 1 0 1 -1 3
66 Marnaval 2 1 0 1 -1 3
67 Wasquehal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
68 Mâcon 2 1 0 1 -2 3
69 Feignies-Aulnoye 2 1 0 1 -2 3
70 Stade Béthunois 2 1 0 1 -3 3
71 Marcoussis Nozay 2 1 0 1 -5 3
72 Aiglon 2 1 0 1 -9 3
73 Alençon 2 0 2 0 +0 2
74 Hyères 2 0 2 0 +0 2
75 Oissel 2 0 2 0 +0 2
76 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 2 0 2 0 +0 2
77 Vannes 2 0 2 0 +0 2
78 Lannion 2 0 2 0 +0 2
79 Bourges Foot 18 2 0 2 0 +0 2
80 Plouvorn 2 0 2 0 +0 2
81 Le Havre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
82 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 Olympique d'Alès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 Alberes Argelès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Angoulême 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Poissy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Laval 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Toulon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Red Star 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Gueugnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Châteaubriant 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 AC Paris 15 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Le Geldar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Sporting Baie-Mahault 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Prix-lès-Mézières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Saint-Apollinaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Merpins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Saint-Pierroise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Strasbourg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Angers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 Trélissac 2 0 1 1 -1 1
113 Drapeau Fougères 2 0 1 1 -1 1
114 Orvault SF 2 0 1 1 -1 1
115 Aubervilliers 2 0 1 1 -1 1
116 Ergué-Gaberic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
117 Lège-Cap-Ferret 2 0 1 1 -3 1
118 Grand Santi 2 0 1 1 -3 1
119 Montauban TG 2 0 1 1 -4 1
120 Velay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Agde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 Golden Lion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Feurs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Escaudain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Raon l'Etape 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Gallia Lucciana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Mérignac-Arlac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Saint-Priest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Grand-Quevilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Saint-Grégoire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Éperlecques 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Gandrange 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 NDC Angers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
145 SA Mérignac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
146 Les Ulis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 Vaulx 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 Villers-lès-Nancy 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Saint-Doulchard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Narbonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Andrézieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 Chartres-de-Bretagne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Fréjus St-Raphaël 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Cournon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 Lescar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
157 Basse Goulaine 1 0 0 1 -2 0
158 Pont Saintte-Maxence 1 0 0 1 -2 0
159 Auray 1 0 0 1 -2 0
160 JA Armentières 1 0 0 1 -2 0
161 Vénissieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
162 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -2 0
163 Geispolsheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
164 Illzach Modenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 Téteghem 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 Salinieres Aigues Mortes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 Beauvais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
169 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
170 Bastia-Borgo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
171 Vénus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
172 Stade Bordelais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
173 Saint-Louis Neuweg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
174 Séné 1 0 0 1 -3 0
175 Heillecourt 1 0 0 1 -4 0
176 Havre Caucriauville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
177 Mareuil 1 0 0 1 -5 0
178 Liancourt Clermont 1 0 0 1 -5 0
179 Tarentaise 1 0 0 1 -5 0
180 Diables Noirs 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Avranches Brest
25′
🔁 M. Camara
↦ H. Magnetti
Half-time 0–0
67′
🔁 F. Honorat
↦ K. Dembélé
67′
🔁 N. Fadiga
↦ K. Lala
73′
⚽ P. Lees-Melou 0–1
I. Slimani
G. Koyalipou 🔁
↦ A. Kerouedan
74′
D. Pollet 🔁
↦ M. Boussaïd
80′
82′
🔁 J. Le Douaron
↦ S. Mounié
83′
🔁 A. Camblan
↦ P. Lees-Melou
T. Le Normand 🔁
↦ V. Piechocki
84′
C. Boateng 🔁
↦ V. Daguin
84′
93′
⚽ A. Camblan 0–2
I. Slimani
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Avranches

4-2-3-1
1 A. Beuve G
2 B. Launey D
4 M. Lemeray D
5 Formose Mendy D
3 C. Makutungu D
8 V. Piechocki M
6 V. Daguin M
7 I. Sacko M
10 M. Boussaïd M
11 N. Mercier M
9 A. Kerouedan F
Bench (9)
19 G. Koyalipou
20 D. Pollet
18 T. Le Normand
15 C. Boateng
16 B. Cognard
12 Y. Godart
14 M. Lescroart
17 C. Eboumbou Dipoko
13 O. Falouh

Coach: D. Ott

Brest

4-3-3
1 J. Blázquez G
5 K. Lala D
4 A. Dari D
3 L. Brassier D
2 J. Duverne D
8 H. Magnetti M
6 P. Lees-Melou M
7 H. Belkebla M
11 K. Dembélé F
9 S. Mounié F
10 I. Slimani F
Bench (9)
13 M. Camara
17 F. Honorat
12 N. Fadiga
15 J. Le Douaron
20 A. Camblan
19 C. Hérelle
16 G. Coudert
14 T. Arconte
18 B. Chardonnet

Coach: E. Roy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.