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Coupe de France

Referee: F Batta

Lyon

S T U S T

2–1

Full-time

Metz

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%

19 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 13

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Grenoble	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Pau FC	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Grasse	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Évreux 27	4	2	1	1	-2	7
6	Annecy	2	2	0	0	+8	6
7	Granville	2	2	0	0	+8	6
8	Vierzon FC	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	Dunkerque	2	2	0	0	+7	6
10	Nimes	3	2	0	1	+6	6
11	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Belfort	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	La Châtaigneraie	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Le Puy Foot	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Avranches	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Chateauroux	3	2	0	1	+2	6
17	Olympique St Quentin	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Stade Plabennec	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Strasbourg Koenigshoffen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Metz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Avoine OCC	2	2	0	0	+2	6
22	Bastia	3	1	2	0	+3	5
23	Amiens	2	1	1	0	+10	4
24	Les Herbiers	2	1	1	0	+5	4
25	Sochaux	2	1	1	0	+3	4
26	Aubagne	2	1	1	0	+3	4
27	Chamalières	2	1	1	0	+3	4
28	Caen	2	1	1	0	+3	4
29	Thaon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
30	Loon-Plage	2	1	1	0	+3	4
31	Reims Sainte-Anne	2	1	1	0	+3	4
32	Jura Sud Foot	2	1	1	0	+2	4
33	Villerupt Thil	2	1	1	0	+2	4
34	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+2	4
35	Saint-Estève Perpignan	2	1	1	0	+2	4
36	Limonest	2	1	1	0	+2	4
37	Bellevue Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
38	Valenciennes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
39	Reipertswiller	2	1	1	0	+1	4
40	Chambéry	2	1	1	0	+1	4
41	Pays de Cassel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
42	Linas-Montlhery	2	1	1	0	+1	4
43	Drancy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
44	Bergerac	2	1	1	0	+1	4
45	Niort	2	1	1	0	+1	4
46	Rodez	2	1	1	0	+1	4
47	Stade Pontivy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
48	La Tamponnaise	3	1	1	1	+0	4
49	Gobelins	2	1	0	1	+4	3
50	Villefranche	2	1	0	1	+3	3
51	Epinal	2	1	0	1	+3	3
52	Louhans-Cuiseaux	2	1	0	1	+2	3
53	Rumilly Vallières	2	1	0	1	+2	3
54	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
55	Thiers	2	1	0	1	+1	3
56	Châtellerault	2	1	0	1	+1	3
57	Vire	2	1	0	1	+1	3
58	Olympique Marcquois	2	1	0	1	+1	3
59	Lyon Duchere	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Colomiers	2	1	0	1	+0	3
61	Union Cosnoise	2	1	0	1	+0	3
62	Haguenau	2	1	0	1	+0	3
63	Onet-le-Château	2	1	0	1	+0	3
64	Roche Saint-Genest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
65	Boé Bon Encontre	2	1	0	1	-1	3
66	Marnaval	2	1	0	1	-1	3
67	Wasquehal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
68	Mâcon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
69	Feignies-Aulnoye	2	1	0	1	-2	3
70	Stade Béthunois	2	1	0	1	-3	3
71	Marcoussis Nozay	2	1	0	1	-5	3
72	Aiglon	2	1	0	1	-9	3
73	Alençon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
74	Hyères	2	0	2	0	+0	2
75	Oissel	2	0	2	0	+0	2
76	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	2	0	2	0	+0	2
77	Vannes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
78	Lannion	2	0	2	0	+0	2
79	Bourges Foot 18	2	0	2	0	+0	2
80	Plouvorn	2	0	2	0	+0	2
81	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
82	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
83	Olympique d'Alès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
84	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
85	Alberes Argelès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
86	Angoulême	1	0	1	0	+0	1
87	Poissy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
88	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
89	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
90	Toulon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
91	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
92	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
93	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	1	0	+0	1
94	Red Star	1	0	1	0	+0	1
95	Gueugnon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
96	Châteaubriant	1	0	1	0	+0	1
97	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
98	AC Paris 15	1	0	1	0	+0	1
99	Chambly Thelle FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
100	Le Geldar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
101	Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
102	Sporting Baie-Mahault	1	0	1	0	+0	1
103	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
104	Prix-lès-Mézières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
105	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
106	Saint-Apollinaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
107	Merpins	1	0	1	0	+0	1
108	Sablé	1	0	1	0	+0	1
109	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
110	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
111	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
112	Trélissac	2	0	1	1	-1	1
113	Drapeau Fougères	2	0	1	1	-1	1
114	Orvault SF	2	0	1	1	-1	1
115	Aubervilliers	2	0	1	1	-1	1
116	Ergué-Gaberic	2	0	1	1	-1	1
117	Lège-Cap-Ferret	2	0	1	1	-3	1
118	Grand Santi	2	0	1	1	-3	1
119	Montauban TG	2	0	1	1	-4	1
120	Velay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
121	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
122	Agde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
123	Le Pays du Valois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
124	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-1	0
125	Golden Lion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
126	Feurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
127	Savigneux Montbrison	1	0	0	1	-1	0
128	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
129	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
130	Escaudain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
131	Raon l'Etape	1	0	0	1	-1	0
132	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
133	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
134	Gallia Lucciana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
135	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
136	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
137	Saint-Priest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
138	Grand-Quevilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
139	Saint-Grégoire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
140	Éperlecques	1	0	0	1	-1	0
141	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
142	Chauray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
143	Gandrange	1	0	0	1	-1	0
144	NDC Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
145	SA Mérignac	1	0	0	1	-2	0
146	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
147	Vaulx	1	0	0	1	-2	0
148	Villers-lès-Nancy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
149	Saint-Doulchard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
150	Narbonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
151	Cambrai	1	0	0	1	-2	0
152	Andrézieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
153	Chartres-de-Bretagne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
154	Fréjus St-Raphaël	1	0	0	1	-2	0
155	Cournon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
156	Lescar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
157	Basse Goulaine	1	0	0	1	-2	0
158	Pont Saintte-Maxence	1	0	0	1	-2	0
159	Auray	1	0	0	1	-2	0
160	JA Armentières	1	0	0	1	-2	0
161	Vénissieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
162	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-2	0
163	Geispolsheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
164	Illzach Modenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
165	Téteghem	1	0	0	1	-3	0
166	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
167	Salinieres Aigues Mortes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
168	Beauvais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
169	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
170	Bastia-Borgo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
171	Vénus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
172	Stade Bordelais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
173	Saint-Louis Neuweg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
174	Séné	1	0	0	1	-3	0
175	Heillecourt	1	0	0	1	-4	0
176	Havre Caucriauville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
177	Mareuil	1	0	0	1	-5	0
178	Liancourt Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0
179	Tarentaise	1	0	0	1	-5	0
180	Diables Noirs	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Grenoble	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Strasbourg Koenigshoffen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Chamalières	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Jura Sud Foot	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Villerupt Thil	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Saint-Estève Perpignan	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Bellevue Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Chambéry	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Pays de Cassel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Évreux 27	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+10	3
12	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+7	3
13	Granville	1	1	0	0	+6	3
14	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Rumilly Vallières	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Reims Sainte-Anne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Thiers	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Châtellerault	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Reipertswiller	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Olympique Marcquois	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Olympique St Quentin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Linas-Montlhery	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Stade Plabennec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	La Tamponnaise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Grasse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Haguenau	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Onet-le-Château	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Roche Saint-Genest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Feignies-Aulnoye	2	1	0	1	-2	3
34	Marcoussis Nozay	2	1	0	1	-5	3
35	Alençon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
36	Oissel	2	0	2	0	+0	2
37	Bourges Foot 18	2	0	2	0	+0	2
38	Plouvorn	2	0	2	0	+0	2
39	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Thaon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Les Herbiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Angoulême	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Toulon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Aubervilliers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Vannes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Valenciennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Châteaubriant	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	AC Paris 15	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Chambly Thelle FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Le Geldar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Prix-lès-Mézières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Merpins	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Bergerac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Drapeau Fougères	2	0	1	1	-1	1
63	Orvault SF	2	0	1	1	-1	1
64	Montauban TG	2	0	1	1	-4	1
65	Velay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Agde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Lyon Duchere	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Trélissac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Golden Lion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Raon l'Etape	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Ergué-Gaberic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Gallia Lucciana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Saint-Priest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Saint-Grégoire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Éperlecques	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Chauray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Epinal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Colomiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	NDC Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Saint-Doulchard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Chateauroux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Chartres-de-Bretagne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Cournon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Lescar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Pont Saintte-Maxence	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Auray	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	JA Armentières	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Vénissieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Union Cosnoise	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Geispolsheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	Illzach Modenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	Téteghem	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	Boé Bon Encontre	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	Lège-Cap-Ferret	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	Salinieres Aigues Mortes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Beauvais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Vénus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Stade Bordelais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Séné	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Marnaval	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Grand Santi	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	Vire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	Heillecourt	1	0	0	1	-4	0
110	Havre Caucriauville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
111	Stade Béthunois	1	0	0	1	-4	0
112	Mareuil	1	0	0	1	-5	0
113	Liancourt Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0
114	Tarentaise	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vierzon FC	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Dunkerque	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Chateauroux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Paris FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Belfort	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Pau FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	La Châtaigneraie	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Avranches	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Grasse	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Metz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Avoine OCC	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	Bastia	3	1	2	0	+3	5
14	Aubagne	2	1	1	0	+3	4
15	Caen	2	1	1	0	+3	4
16	Loon-Plage	2	1	1	0	+3	4
17	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+2	4
18	Limonest	2	1	1	0	+2	4
19	Drancy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	Niort	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	Rodez	2	1	1	0	+1	4
22	Stade Pontivy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+5	3
24	Gobelins	2	1	0	1	+4	3
25	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Vire	1	1	0	0	+4	3
27	Villefranche	2	1	0	1	+3	3
28	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+3	3
30	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Louhans-Cuiseaux	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Granville	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Union Cosnoise	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Boé Bon Encontre	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Marnaval	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Valenciennes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Colomiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Bergerac	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Stade Plabennec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Stade Béthunois	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Olympique St Quentin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Wasquehal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Mâcon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
48	Évreux 27	2	1	0	1	-3	3
49	Aiglon	2	1	0	1	-9	3
50	Lannion	2	0	2	0	+0	2
51	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Olympique d'Alès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Alberes Argelès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Sochaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Trélissac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Poissy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Red Star	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Gueugnon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Reims Sainte-Anne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Grand Santi	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Sporting Baie-Mahault	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Reipertswiller	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Ergué-Gaberic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Saint-Apollinaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Lège-Cap-Ferret	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Sablé	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Vannes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	La Tamponnaise	2	0	1	1	-1	1
80	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Le Pays du Valois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Feurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Savigneux Montbrison	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Escaudain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Rumilly Vallières	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Grand-Quevilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Gandrange	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Aubervilliers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	SA Mérignac	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Vaulx	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Villers-lès-Nancy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Narbonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Cambrai	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Andrézieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Fréjus St-Raphaël	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Basse Goulaine	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Bastia-Borgo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Saint-Louis Neuweg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Diables Noirs	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.