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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Celtic
S S S S U
2–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 58%
90%
25%
Points per game
2,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
80%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
3,2
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

79% Possession 21%
24 Shots 2
10 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celtic 1. · Kilmarnock 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 20 18 1 1 +46 55
2 Rangers 20 14 4 2 +26 46
3 Hearts 19 9 4 6 +5 31
4 Livingston 20 8 4 8 -8 28
5 Aberdeen 20 8 2 10 +1 26
6 St Mirren 18 7 5 6 -4 26
7 ST Johnstone 20 7 3 10 -6 24
8 Hibernian 20 7 2 11 -9 23
9 Kilmarnock 20 5 5 10 -16 20
10 Motherwell 19 5 4 10 -5 19
11 Dundee United 19 5 4 10 -10 19
12 Ross County 21 4 4 13 -20 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Aug -22 Kilmarnock – Celtic 0–5 2. Feb -21 Kilmarnock – Celtic 0–4 13. Dec -20 Celtic – Kilmarnock 2–0 9. Aug -20 Kilmarnock – Celtic 1–1 23. Feb -20 Celtic – Kilmarnock 3–1

Match report

Celtic Kilmarnock
1–0 Jota ⚽
D. Maeda
45′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 A. Taylor ⚽
own goal
51′
M. O'Riley 🔁
↦ A. Mooy
63′
G. Giakoumakis 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
63′
L. Abada 🔁
↦ Jota
63′
64′
🔁 C. Doidge
↦ K. Vassell
64′
🔁 B. Lyons
↦ A. Power
64′
🔁 D. Armstrong
↦ S. Robinson
75′
🔁 F. Murray
↦ L. Polworth
J. Forrest 🔁
↦ D. Maeda
83′
D. Turnbull 🔁
↦ R. Hatate
83′
85′
🔁 K. McInroy
↦ R. McKenzie
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
4 C. Starfelt D
25 A. Bernabei D
13 A. Mooy M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
17 Jota F
8 K. Furuhashi F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
33 M. O'Riley
7 G. Giakoumakis
11 L. Abada
49 J. Forrest
14 D. Turnbull
88 J. Juranović
6 M. Jenz
29 S. Bain
18 Y. Kobayashi

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Kilmarnock

5-3-2
20 S. Walker G
2 L. Mayo D
19 J. Wright D
5 A. Taylor D
6 C. Stokes D
33 B. Chrisene D
4 A. Power M
31 L. Polworth M
7 R. McKenzie M
16 S. Robinson F
23 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
26 C. Doidge
17 B. Lyons
11 D. Armstrong
15 F. Murray
21 K. McInroy
1 Z. Hemming
8 B. Alston
14 J. Sanders
18 C. Waters

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,08
🔒
U
10,44
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,28
🔒
U2,5 ✓
3,52
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.