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Coupe de France

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Monaco

S S T S S

2–2

Full-time

Rodez

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Rodez

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,3

1,3

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

63% Possession 37%

19 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

7 Corners 5

4 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Grenoble	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Pau FC	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Grasse	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Strasbourg Koenigshoffen	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Évreux 27	4	2	1	1	-2	7
7	Annecy	2	2	0	0	+8	6
8	Granville	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	Vierzon FC	2	2	0	0	+8	6
10	Dunkerque	2	2	0	0	+7	6
11	Nimes	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Belfort	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	La Châtaigneraie	2	2	0	0	+4	6
15	Le Puy Foot	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Chateauroux	3	2	0	1	+2	6
17	Olympique St Quentin	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Stade Plabennec	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Avoine OCC	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Metz	3	2	0	1	+1	6
21	Avranches	3	2	0	1	+1	6
22	Bastia	3	1	2	0	+3	5
23	Amiens	2	1	1	0	+10	4
24	Les Herbiers	2	1	1	0	+5	4
25	Sochaux	2	1	1	0	+3	4
26	Aubagne	2	1	1	0	+3	4
27	Chamalières	2	1	1	0	+3	4
28	Caen	2	1	1	0	+3	4
29	Thaon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
30	Loon-Plage	2	1	1	0	+3	4
31	Reims Sainte-Anne	2	1	1	0	+3	4
32	Jura Sud Foot	2	1	1	0	+2	4
33	Villerupt Thil	2	1	1	0	+2	4
34	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+2	4
35	Saint-Estève Perpignan	2	1	1	0	+2	4
36	Limonest	2	1	1	0	+2	4
37	Bellevue Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
38	Valenciennes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
39	Reipertswiller	2	1	1	0	+1	4
40	Chambéry	2	1	1	0	+1	4
41	Pays de Cassel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
42	Drancy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
43	Bergerac	2	1	1	0	+1	4
44	Niort	2	1	1	0	+1	4
45	Rodez	2	1	1	0	+1	4
46	Stade Pontivy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
47	La Tamponnaise	3	1	1	1	+0	4
48	Linas-Montlhery	3	1	1	1	-1	4
49	Gobelins	2	1	0	1	+4	3
50	Villefranche	2	1	0	1	+3	3
51	Epinal	2	1	0	1	+3	3
52	Louhans-Cuiseaux	2	1	0	1	+2	3
53	Rumilly Vallières	2	1	0	1	+2	3
54	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
55	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+2	3
56	Brest	1	1	0	0	+2	3
57	Lens	1	1	0	0	+2	3
58	Thiers	2	1	0	1	+1	3
59	Châtellerault	2	1	0	1	+1	3
60	Vire	2	1	0	1	+1	3
61	Olympique Marcquois	2	1	0	1	+1	3
62	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
63	Lyon Duchere	2	1	0	1	+0	3
64	Colomiers	2	1	0	1	+0	3
65	Union Cosnoise	2	1	0	1	+0	3
66	Haguenau	2	1	0	1	+0	3
67	Onet-le-Château	2	1	0	1	+0	3
68	Roche Saint-Genest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
69	Boé Bon Encontre	2	1	0	1	-1	3
70	Marnaval	2	1	0	1	-1	3
71	Wasquehal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
72	Mâcon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
73	Feignies-Aulnoye	2	1	0	1	-2	3
74	Stade Béthunois	2	1	0	1	-3	3
75	Marcoussis Nozay	2	1	0	1	-5	3
76	Aiglon	2	1	0	1	-9	3
77	Alençon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
78	Oissel	2	0	2	0	+0	2
79	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	2	0	2	0	+0	2
80	Vannes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
81	Lannion	2	0	2	0	+0	2
82	Bourges Foot 18	2	0	2	0	+0	2
83	Plouvorn	2	0	2	0	+0	2
84	Hyères	3	0	2	1	-2	2
85	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
86	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
87	Olympique d'Alès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
88	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
89	Alberes Argelès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
90	Angoulême	1	0	1	0	+0	1
91	Poissy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
92	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
93	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
94	Toulon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
95	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
96	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
97	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	1	0	+0	1
98	Red Star	1	0	1	0	+0	1
99	Gueugnon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
100	Châteaubriant	1	0	1	0	+0	1
101	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
102	AC Paris 15	1	0	1	0	+0	1
103	Chambly Thelle FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
104	Le Geldar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
105	Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
106	Sporting Baie-Mahault	1	0	1	0	+0	1
107	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
108	Prix-lès-Mézières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
109	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
110	Saint-Apollinaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
111	Merpins	1	0	1	0	+0	1
112	Sablé	1	0	1	0	+0	1
113	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
114	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
115	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
116	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
117	Trélissac	2	0	1	1	-1	1
118	Drapeau Fougères	2	0	1	1	-1	1
119	Orvault SF	2	0	1	1	-1	1
120	Aubervilliers	2	0	1	1	-1	1
121	Ergué-Gaberic	2	0	1	1	-1	1
122	Lège-Cap-Ferret	2	0	1	1	-3	1
123	Grand Santi	2	0	1	1	-3	1
124	Montauban TG	2	0	1	1	-4	1
125	Velay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
126	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
127	Agde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
128	Le Pays du Valois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
129	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-1	0
130	Golden Lion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
131	Feurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
132	Savigneux Montbrison	1	0	0	1	-1	0
133	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
134	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
135	Escaudain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
136	Raon l'Etape	1	0	0	1	-1	0
137	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
138	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
139	Gallia Lucciana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
140	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
141	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
142	Saint-Priest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
143	Grand-Quevilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
144	Saint-Grégoire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
145	Éperlecques	1	0	0	1	-1	0
146	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
147	Chauray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
148	Gandrange	1	0	0	1	-1	0
149	NDC Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
150	SA Mérignac	1	0	0	1	-2	0
151	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
152	Vaulx	1	0	0	1	-2	0
153	Villers-lès-Nancy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
154	Saint-Doulchard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
155	Narbonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
156	Cambrai	1	0	0	1	-2	0
157	Andrézieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
158	Chartres-de-Bretagne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
159	Fréjus St-Raphaël	1	0	0	1	-2	0
160	Cournon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
161	Lescar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
162	Basse Goulaine	1	0	0	1	-2	0
163	Pont Saintte-Maxence	1	0	0	1	-2	0
164	Auray	1	0	0	1	-2	0
165	JA Armentières	1	0	0	1	-2	0
166	Vénissieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
167	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-2	0
168	Geispolsheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
169	Illzach Modenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
170	Téteghem	1	0	0	1	-3	0
171	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
172	Salinieres Aigues Mortes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
173	Beauvais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
174	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
175	Bastia-Borgo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
176	Vénus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
177	Stade Bordelais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
178	Saint-Louis Neuweg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
179	Séné	1	0	0	1	-3	0
180	Heillecourt	1	0	0	1	-4	0
181	Havre Caucriauville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
182	Mareuil	1	0	0	1	-5	0
183	Liancourt Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0
184	Tarentaise	1	0	0	1	-5	0
185	Diables Noirs	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Strasbourg Koenigshoffen	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Grenoble	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Chamalières	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Jura Sud Foot	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Villerupt Thil	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Saint-Estève Perpignan	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Bellevue Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Chambéry	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Pays de Cassel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Évreux 27	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+10	3
12	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+7	3
13	Granville	1	1	0	0	+6	3
14	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Rumilly Vallières	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Reims Sainte-Anne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Thiers	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Châtellerault	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Reipertswiller	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Olympique Marcquois	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Olympique St Quentin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Stade Plabennec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	La Tamponnaise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Grasse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Haguenau	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Onet-le-Château	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Roche Saint-Genest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Linas-Montlhery	2	1	0	1	-1	3
35	Feignies-Aulnoye	2	1	0	1	-2	3
36	Marcoussis Nozay	2	1	0	1	-5	3
37	Alençon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
38	Oissel	2	0	2	0	+0	2
39	Bourges Foot 18	2	0	2	0	+0	2
40	Plouvorn	2	0	2	0	+0	2
41	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Thaon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Les Herbiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Angoulême	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Toulon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Aubervilliers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Vannes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Valenciennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Châteaubriant	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	AC Paris 15	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Chambly Thelle FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Le Geldar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Prix-lès-Mézières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Merpins	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Bergerac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Drapeau Fougères	2	0	1	1	-1	1
65	Orvault SF	2	0	1	1	-1	1
66	Montauban TG	2	0	1	1	-4	1
67	Velay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Agde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Lyon Duchere	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Trélissac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Golden Lion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Raon l'Etape	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Ergué-Gaberic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Gallia Lucciana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Saint-Priest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Saint-Grégoire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Éperlecques	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Chauray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Epinal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Colomiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	NDC Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Saint-Doulchard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Chateauroux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Chartres-de-Bretagne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Cournon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Lescar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Pont Saintte-Maxence	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Auray	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	JA Armentières	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Vénissieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Union Cosnoise	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Geispolsheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	Illzach Modenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	Téteghem	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Boé Bon Encontre	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Lège-Cap-Ferret	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Salinieres Aigues Mortes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Beauvais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Vénus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Stade Bordelais	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	Séné	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	Marnaval	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Grand Santi	1	0	0	1	-3	0
111	Vire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
112	Heillecourt	1	0	0	1	-4	0
113	Havre Caucriauville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
114	Stade Béthunois	1	0	0	1	-4	0
115	Mareuil	1	0	0	1	-5	0
116	Liancourt Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0
117	Tarentaise	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vierzon FC	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Dunkerque	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Chateauroux	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Paris FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Belfort	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Pau FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	La Châtaigneraie	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Avranches	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Grasse	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Avoine OCC	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Metz	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	Bastia	3	1	2	0	+3	5
14	Aubagne	2	1	1	0	+3	4
15	Caen	2	1	1	0	+3	4
16	Loon-Plage	2	1	1	0	+3	4
17	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+2	4
18	Limonest	2	1	1	0	+2	4
19	Drancy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	Niort	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	Rodez	2	1	1	0	+1	4
22	Stade Pontivy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+5	3
24	Gobelins	2	1	0	1	+4	3
25	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Vire	1	1	0	0	+4	3
27	Villefranche	2	1	0	1	+3	3
28	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+3	3
30	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Louhans-Cuiseaux	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Granville	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Union Cosnoise	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Boé Bon Encontre	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Marnaval	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Brest	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Lens	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Valenciennes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Colomiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Bergerac	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Stade Plabennec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Stade Béthunois	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Olympique St Quentin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Wasquehal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Mâcon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
50	Évreux 27	2	1	0	1	-3	3
51	Aiglon	2	1	0	1	-9	3
52	Lannion	2	0	2	0	+0	2
53	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Olympique d'Alès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Alberes Argelès	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Sochaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Trélissac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Poissy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Red Star	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Gueugnon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Reims Sainte-Anne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Grand Santi	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Sporting Baie-Mahault	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Reipertswiller	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Ergué-Gaberic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Saint-Apollinaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Lège-Cap-Ferret	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Sablé	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Vannes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
81	La Tamponnaise	2	0	1	1	-1	1
82	Hyères	2	0	1	1	-2	1
83	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Le Pays du Valois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Feurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Savigneux Montbrison	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Escaudain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Rumilly Vallières	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Grand-Quevilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Gandrange	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Aubervilliers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	SA Mérignac	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Vaulx	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Villers-lès-Nancy	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Narbonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Cambrai	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Andrézieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Fréjus St-Raphaël	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Basse Goulaine	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Bastia-Borgo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Saint-Louis Neuweg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	Diables Noirs	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.