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Coupe de France

Referee: B Bastien

Le Havre

U T T S T

2–1

Full-time

Caen

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

52% Possession 48%

18 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 2

9 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rodez	3	3	0	0	+16	9
2	Romorantin	3	3	0	0	+11	9
3	Orleans	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Sochaux	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Le Puy Foot	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Racing Colombes 92	3	3	0	0	+4	9
7	Feignies-Aulnoye	3	3	0	0	+3	9
8	Chateauroux	3	2	1	0	+5	7
9	Trélissac	3	2	1	0	+5	7
10	Valenciennes	3	2	1	0	+4	7
11	Paris FC	3	2	1	0	+3	7
12	Entente S St Gratien	3	2	1	0	+3	7
13	Les Herbiers	3	2	1	0	+2	7
14	Dunkerque	3	2	1	0	+2	7
15	Bergerac	2	2	0	0	+6	6
16	Caen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
17	Laval	2	2	0	0	+6	6
18	Olympique d'Alès	3	2	0	1	+5	6
19	Chambly Thelle FC	3	2	0	1	+5	6
20	Quevilly Rouen	3	2	0	1	+5	6
21	Thionville Lusitanos	2	2	0	0	+5	6
22	Saint-Priest	2	2	0	0	+4	6
23	Feurs	2	2	0	0	+4	6
24	Dinan Léhon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
25	Lyon Duchere	3	2	0	1	+3	6
26	Sarreguemines	3	2	0	1	+3	6
27	Libourne	2	2	0	0	+3	6
28	Amiens	3	2	0	1	+3	6
29	Dieppe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
30	Pau FC	3	2	0	1	+2	6
31	Nimes	3	2	0	1	+2	6
32	Angers	3	2	0	1	+2	6
33	Rouen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
34	Auxerre	3	1	2	0	+3	5
35	Bordeaux	3	1	2	0	+1	5
36	Revel	2	1	1	0	+3	4
37	Louhans-Cuiseaux	2	1	1	0	+1	4
38	Cannes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
39	Grenoble	2	1	1	0	+1	4
40	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+1	4
41	Union Cosnoise	2	1	1	0	+1	4
42	Epinal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
43	Mulhouse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
44	Paimpol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
45	Chambéry	2	1	1	0	+1	4
46	Blagnac	2	1	1	0	+1	4
47	Fleury 91	2	1	1	0	+1	4
48	Sarre Union	2	1	1	0	+1	4
49	Pontarlier	2	1	1	0	+1	4
50	Avoine OCC	3	1	1	1	-1	4
51	Lille	1	1	0	0	+12	3
52	Dijon	2	1	0	1	+4	3
53	Vitré	2	1	0	1	+4	3
54	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
55	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
56	Métropole Troyenne	2	1	0	1	+2	3
57	Ajaccio	2	1	0	1	+2	3
58	Villers Houlgate CF	2	1	0	1	+2	3
59	St Etienne	2	1	0	1	+2	3
60	Martigues	2	1	0	1	+1	3
61	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	2	1	0	1	+1	3
62	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
63	Pontivy GSI	2	1	0	1	+1	3
64	Furiani-Agliani	2	1	0	1	+1	3
65	Brest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
66	Entente Itancourt-Neu.	2	1	0	1	+0	3
67	Castanet	2	1	0	1	+0	3
68	Ergué-Gaberic	2	1	0	1	+0	3
69	Thaon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
70	Annecy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
71	Plessis Robinson 92	2	1	0	1	+0	3
72	AG Caennaise	2	1	0	1	+0	3
73	Angoulême	2	1	0	1	+0	3
74	Panazol	2	1	0	1	-1	3
75	Villenave	2	1	0	1	-1	3
76	Biesheim	2	1	0	1	-1	3
77	Hauts Lyonnais	2	1	0	1	-1	3
78	Bassin d'Arcachon Sud	2	1	0	1	-1	3
79	RC Calais	2	1	0	1	-2	3
80	Saint-Meziery	2	1	0	1	-2	3
81	Coulaines	2	1	0	1	-3	3
82	JS Douvres	2	1	0	1	-3	3
83	Stade Mayennais	2	1	0	1	-8	3
84	Golden Lion	2	1	0	1	-11	3
85	Reims Sainte-Anne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
86	Saint-Omer	3	0	2	1	-1	2
87	Fabrègues	3	0	2	1	-3	2
88	Challans	3	0	2	1	-4	2
89	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
90	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
91	Villejuif	1	0	1	0	+0	1
92	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
93	Squadra Valincu ARR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
94	Nœux-les-Mines	1	0	1	0	+0	1
95	Étoile Maritime	1	0	1	0	+0	1
96	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
97	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
98	Stade Plabennec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
99	Boulogne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
100	Canet Roussillon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
101	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
102	Limonest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
103	Le Pays du Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
104	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
105	Forbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
106	ASPTT Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
107	Stade Briochin	2	0	1	1	-1	1
108	Thonon Évian	2	0	1	1	-1	1
109	Saint-Denis	2	0	1	1	-2	1
110	Domerat	2	0	1	1	-3	1
111	Chaponnay-Marennes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
112	Blériot-Plage	2	0	1	1	-3	1
113	Moulien	2	0	1	1	-4	1
114	Geispolsheim	2	0	1	1	-4	1
115	Croix Football IC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
116	Dives-Cabourg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
117	Schweighouse s/Moder	1	0	0	1	-1	0
118	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-1	0
119	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	0
120	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	0	1	-1	0
121	Mâcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
122	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
123	Roche Saint-Genest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
124	Stade Pontivy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
125	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-1	0
126	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
127	Villefranche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
128	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
129	Brissac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
130	Fos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
131	Drapeau Fougères	1	0	0	1	-1	0
132	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
133	Longueau	1	0	0	1	-1	0
134	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
135	France Aizenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
136	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
137	Flers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
138	US Laon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
139	Choisy au Bac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
140	Volvic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
141	APM Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
142	Chauray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
143	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
144	Vierzon FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
145	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
146	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
147	Pirae	1	0	0	1	-1	0
148	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
149	Colmar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
150	Torcy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
151	Isle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
152	Morlaas Est-Bearn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
153	Aunis Avenir	1	0	0	1	-1	0
154	Jarville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
155	Velay	1	0	0	1	-2	0
156	Saint-Renan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
157	TA Rennes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
158	Roannais Foot	1	0	0	1	-2	0
159	Haguenau	1	0	0	1	-2	0
160	Villerupt Thil	1	0	0	1	-2	0
161	Neuville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
162	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
163	Plougastel	1	0	0	1	-2	0
164	Noisy-le-Sec	1	0	0	1	-2	0
165	Le Poiré sur Vie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
166	Seyssins	1	0	0	1	-2	0
167	Saint-Michel 91	1	0	0	1	-2	0
168	Camon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
169	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
170	Le Geldar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
171	Le Quesnoy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
172	Toulouse Métropole	1	0	0	1	-3	0
173	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
174	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
175	Loon-Plage	1	0	0	1	-3	0
176	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	0	0	1	-3	0
177	Liffré	1	0	0	1	-3	0
178	St-Aubin Guérande	1	0	0	1	-3	0
179	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-4	0
180	Lavernose Lherm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
181	Montdidier	1	0	0	1	-4	0
182	Montlouis	1	0	0	1	-4	0
183	Auch	1	0	0	1	-4	0
184	FC Equeurdreville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
185	Rosador	1	0	0	1	-5	0
186	Provin	1	0	0	1	-5	0
187	Doullens	1	0	0	1	-6	0
188	Châteaugiron	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dinan Léhon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Lyon Duchere	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Sochaux	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Les Herbiers	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Mulhouse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Paimpol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Chambéry	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Entente S St Gratien	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Sarre Union	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Lille	1	1	0	0	+12	3
11	Olympique d'Alès	2	1	0	1	+4	3
12	Romorantin	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Saint-Priest	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Villers Houlgate CF	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Bergerac	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Quevilly Rouen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Ergué-Gaberic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Dieppe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Golden Lion	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Sarreguemines	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Orleans	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Feurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Thionville Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Pontivy GSI	2	1	0	1	+1	3
29	Cannes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Brest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Union Cosnoise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Blagnac	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Entente Itancourt-Neu.	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Plessis Robinson 92	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	AG Caennaise	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Avoine OCC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
38	Villenave	2	1	0	1	-1	3
39	Hauts Lyonnais	2	1	0	1	-1	3
40	Bassin d'Arcachon Sud	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	RC Calais	2	1	0	1	-2	3
42	Saint-Meziery	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	Coulaines	2	1	0	1	-3	3
44	JS Douvres	2	1	0	1	-3	3
45	Reims Sainte-Anne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
46	Saint-Omer	3	0	2	1	-1	2
47	Fabrègues	3	0	2	1	-3	2
48	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Louhans-Cuiseaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Villejuif	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Thonon Évian	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Nœux-les-Mines	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Étoile Maritime	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Stade Plabennec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Canet Roussillon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Revel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Moulien	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Limonest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Le Pays du Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Forbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Stade Briochin	2	0	1	1	-1	1
64	Chaponnay-Marennes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
65	Blériot-Plage	2	0	1	1	-3	1
66	Dives-Cabourg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Schweighouse s/Moder	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Martigues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Mâcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Roche Saint-Genest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Stade Pontivy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Chambly Thelle FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Villefranche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Fos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	France Aizenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	US Laon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Angoulême	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Thaon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Chauray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Vierzon FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Colmar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Torcy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Morlaas Est-Bearn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Aunis Avenir	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Jarville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Velay	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Roannais Foot	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Haguenau	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Villerupt Thil	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Noisy-le-Sec	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Seyssins	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Saint-Michel 91	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Camon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	Pau FC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Le Quesnoy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Toulouse Métropole	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Loon-Plage	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Liffré	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	Castanet	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	St-Aubin Guérande	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-4	0
111	Geispolsheim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
112	Lavernose Lherm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
113	Challans	1	0	0	1	-4	0
114	Montdidier	1	0	0	1	-4	0
115	Montlouis	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Auch	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Provin	1	0	0	1	-5	0
118	Doullens	1	0	0	1	-6	0
119	Châteaugiron	1	0	0	1	-6	0
120	Stade Mayennais	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rodez	3	3	0	0	+16	9
2	Le Puy Foot	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Racing Colombes 92	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Trélissac	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Valenciennes	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Dunkerque	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Romorantin	2	2	0	0	+7	6
8	Chambly Thelle FC	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	Caen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
10	Laval	2	2	0	0	+6	6
11	Orleans	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Pau FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	Amiens	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Libourne	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Nimes	3	2	0	1	+2	6
16	Angers	3	2	0	1	+2	6
17	Feignies-Aulnoye	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Rouen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Auxerre	3	1	2	0	+3	5
20	Bordeaux	3	1	2	0	+1	5
21	Chateauroux	2	1	1	0	+4	4
22	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Grenoble	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Fleury 91	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	Pontarlier	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	Dijon	2	1	0	1	+4	3
28	Vitré	2	1	0	1	+4	3
29	Thionville Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+4	3
30	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+4	3
31	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
32	Bergerac	1	1	0	0	+4	3
33	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	Quevilly Rouen	2	1	0	1	+3	3
35	Ajaccio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
36	Castanet	1	1	0	0	+3	3
37	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
38	Feurs	1	1	0	0	+3	3
39	Revel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
40	Métropole Troyenne	2	1	0	1	+2	3
41	Sarreguemines	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Entente S St Gratien	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Dieppe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Louhans-Cuiseaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Saint-Priest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Furiani-Agliani	2	1	0	1	+1	3
52	Angoulême	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Stade Mayennais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Annecy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
55	Panazol	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Biesheim	2	1	0	1	-1	3
57	Challans	2	0	2	0	+0	2
58	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Union Cosnoise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Cannes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Squadra Valincu ARR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Avoine OCC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Boulogne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Blagnac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Epinal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Geispolsheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	ASPTT Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Saint-Denis	2	0	1	1	-2	1
72	Domerat	2	0	1	1	-3	1
73	Croix Football IC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Thonon Évian	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Brissac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Drapeau Fougères	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Longueau	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Flers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Choisy au Bac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Volvic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	APM Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Pirae	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Isle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Saint-Renan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	TA Rennes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Neuville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Plougastel	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Ergué-Gaberic	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Le Poiré sur Vie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Le Geldar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Moulien	1	0	0	1	-4	0
105	FC Equeurdreville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
106	Rosador	1	0	0	1	-5	0
107	Golden Lion	1	0	0	1	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.