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Copa del Rey

Referee: Juan Pulido

Barbastro

S S

2–3

Full-time

Barcelona

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barbastro Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

1,0

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

0,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Alaves	3	3	0	0	+12	9
3	Vallecano	3	3	0	0	+10	9
4	Mallorca	3	3	0	0	+10	9
5	Celta	3	3	0	0	+7	9
6	Ath Bilbao	3	3	0	0	+7	9
7	Girona	3	3	0	0	+6	9
8	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+6	9
9	Valencia	3	3	0	0	+4	9
10	Betis	3	2	0	1	+11	6
11	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
12	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Unionistas de Salamanca	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Espanol	3	2	0	1	+3	6
15	Elche	3	2	0	1	+2	6
16	Ferrol	3	2	0	1	+2	6
17	Tenerife	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Barbastro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	Castellon	3	2	0	1	+1	6
21	Lugo	3	2	0	1	+1	6
22	Huesca	3	2	0	1	+1	6
23	Burgos	3	2	0	1	+0	6
24	Arandina	3	2	0	1	+0	6
25	Eibar	3	1	1	1	+1	4
26	Melilla	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	Malaga	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Alcorcon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
29	Granada	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Levante	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Buñol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	La Coruna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Eldense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Antequera	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Andratx	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Villanovense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Atzeneta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Yeclano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Tudelano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Terrassa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Amorebieta	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Arenteiro	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Atlético Astorga	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	Cayón	2	1	0	1	-2	3
56	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
57	Valle Egüés	2	1	0	1	-2	3
58	Boiro	2	1	0	1	-3	3
59	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-4	3
60	Atlético Lugones	2	1	0	1	-5	3
61	Deportivo Murcia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
62	Hernán Cortés	2	1	0	1	-9	3
63	Tardienta	2	1	0	1	-11	3
64	Cartagena	3	0	2	1	-1	2
65	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Barakaldo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Gimnastic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Zamora	2	0	1	1	-1	1
73	Rubí	2	0	1	1	-1	1
74	Cadiz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
75	Linares Deportivo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
76	Orihuela	2	0	1	1	-3	1
77	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Tarazona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Real Murcia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	0	1	-1	0
103	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
104	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
105	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Manchego	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Marbella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Gernika	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Sanluqueño	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	Europa Fc	1	0	0	1	-2	0
118	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
122	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
123	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
124	Arosa	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barbastro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Arandina	3	2	0	1	+0	6
3	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Malaga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lugo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Andratx	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Villanovense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Atzeneta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Castellon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Ferrol	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Yeclano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Tudelano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Terrassa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Atlético Astorga	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Turégano	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Quintanar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Valle Egüés	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	Hernán Cortés	2	1	0	1	-9	3
21	Tardienta	2	1	0	1	-11	3
22	Melilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Ucam Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Badalona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Azuaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Barakaldo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Zamora	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Rubí	2	0	1	1	-1	1
30	Orihuela	2	0	1	1	-3	1
31	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Cartagena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Sestao River	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Pradejón	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Ursaria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Mijas Las Lagunas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Buñol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Monte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Antoniano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Linares Deportivo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Arenteiro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Covadonga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Manchego	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Marbella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Huesca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Elche	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Gernika	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Mensajero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	CF Talavera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Llerenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Antequera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Europa Fc	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Burgos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Varea	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Cayón	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Peña Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	Boiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
78	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-4	0
79	Arosa	2	0	0	2	-4	0
80	Chiclana	1	0	0	1	-5	0
81	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-6	0
82	Deportivo Murcia	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Vallecano	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Mallorca	3	3	0	0	+10	9
4	Celta	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Ath Bilbao	3	3	0	0	+7	9
6	Girona	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+6	9
8	Valencia	3	3	0	0	+4	9
9	Betis	3	2	0	1	+11	6
10	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+11	6
11	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
12	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Elche	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Burgos	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Tenerife	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+4	4
19	Buñol	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Granada	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Deportivo Murcia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Antequera	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Sestao River	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Sp Gijon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Atlético Lugones	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Melilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Cayón	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Amorebieta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Alcorcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Boiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Lugo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Arenteiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Eldense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Cartagena	2	0	2	0	+0	2
50	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Rotlet Molinar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Linares Deportivo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Gimnastic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Cadiz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
56	Tarazona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Zirauki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Unión Zona Norte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Andorra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Real Murcia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Santurtzi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Sauzal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Sanluqueño	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barbastro Barcelona

18′

⚽ Fermín 0–1

F. Carbonell 🟨

36′

Half-time 0–1

S. Sidibe 🔁

↦ Hugo Bautista

46′

51′

⚽ Raphinha 0–2

Héctor Fort

1–2 Adrià de Mesa ⚽

Jaime

60′

64′

🔁 Vitor Roque

↦ Raphinha

64′

🔁 Íñigo Martínez

↦ A. Christensen

Jaime Requés 🔁

↦ Franc Carbonell

66′

Crespo 🔁

↦ Kike Rausell

66′

Marc Prat 🔁

↦ Adrià de Mesa

71′

72′

🔁 İ. Gündoğan

↦ Oriol Romeu

72′

🔁 R. Lewandowski

↦ João Félix

75′

🔁 Sergi Roberto

↦ Íñigo Martínez

O. Gonpi 🟨

80′

José Val 🔁

↦ Gonpi

82′

88′

⚽ R. Lewandowski 1–3

2–3 Marc Prat ⚽

93′

Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Barbastro

13 Arnau Fàbrega

21 Mingotes

14 Carlos Gascó

4 Franc Carbonell

19 Hugo Bautista

8 Kike Rausell

18 Javito

3 Jaime

5 Israel García

9 Adrià de Mesa

20 Gonpi

Bench (11)

15 S. Sidibe

12 Jaime Requés

10 Crespo

11 Marc Prat

7 José Val

1 Iván Biarge

6 Fernando Arnedillo

16 P. Gállego

2 Oscar Pérez

17 Íker Balda

22 Dani Ribelles

Coach: Daniel Martínez

Barcelona

Iñaki Peña

A. Christensen

J. Koundé

R. Araujo

Héctor Fort

18 Oriol Romeu

21 F. de Jong

Fermín

Ferran Torres

Raphinha

14 João Félix

Bench (10)

19 Vitor Roque

5 Íñigo Martínez

22 İ. Gündoğan

9 R. Lewandowski

20 Sergi Roberto

33 Pau Cubarsí

26 Ander Astralaga

30 Marc Casadó

37 Pau Victor

36 Á. Yaakobishvili

Coach: Xavi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

6. Dec CDR 2 years ago

1. Nov CDR 2 years ago

Referee

Juan Pulido · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,7 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

24,8 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Barbastro

Barcelona

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee