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Serie A
Referee: M Guida
Salernitana
T T U S T
1–2
Full-time
Juventus
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
2,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
11%
72%
Points per game
0,7
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
61%
33%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
44%
Average goals
2,8
2,1
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
2,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,76 xG 2,10
29% Possession 71%
8 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salernitana 20. · Juventus 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 19 15 3 1 +35 +25.5 48
2 Juventus 18 13 4 1 +16 +15.9 43
3 Milan 19 12 3 4 +15 +4.8 39
4 Fiorentina 19 10 3 6 +8 -1.2 33
5 Bologna 19 8 8 3 +6 +5.4 32
6 Lazio 19 9 3 7 +3 +4.2 30
7 Atalanta 18 9 2 7 +9 +5.4 29
8 Roma 18 8 4 6 +10 +7.5 28
9 Napoli 19 8 4 7 +4 +11.2 28
10 Torino 19 7 6 6 +0 +1.0 27
11 Monza 19 6 7 6 -1 -5.5 25
12 Genoa 19 5 6 8 -4 -3.2 21
13 Lecce 19 4 9 6 -5 -10.4 21
14 Sassuolo 19 5 4 10 -7 -7.2 19
15 Frosinone 19 5 4 10 -9 -6.9 19
16 Udinese 19 2 11 6 -11 -3.8 17
17 Cagliari 19 3 6 10 -15 -5.3 15
18 Verona 19 3 5 11 -10 -8.0 14
19 Empoli 19 3 4 12 -23 -10.8 13
20 Salernitana 18 2 6 10 -21 -18.6 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salernitana Juventus
Norbert Gyömbér 🟨
19′
Giulio Maggiore 🟨
32′
1–0 G. Maggiore
L. Tchaouna
39′
43′
🟨 Federico Gatti
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Rugani
↦ F. Gatti
46′
🔁 S. Iling-Junior
↦ F. Kostić
Giulio Maggiore 🟨
53′
Giulio Maggiore 🟥
53′
D. Bronn 🔁
↦ L. Tchaouna
56′
59′
🔁 A. Milik
↦ H. Nicolussi
65′
S. Iling-Junior 1–1
D. Vlahović
68′
🔁 F. Miretti
↦ K. Yıldız
69′
🟨 Weston McKennie
73′
🟨 Daniele Rugani
C. Ikwuemesi 🔁
↦ S. Nwankwo
77′
81′
🔁 J. Nonge Boende
↦ T. Weah
A. Martegani 🔁
↦ J. Sambia
89′
91′
D. Vlahović 1–2
Danilo
92′
🟨 Dušan Vlahović
93′
🟨 Adrien Rabiot
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Salernitana

3-5-2
56 B. Costil G
5 F. Daniliuc D
23 N. Gyömbér D
17 F. Fazio D
6 J. Sambia M
25 G. Maggiore M
99 M. Łęgowski M
87 A. Candreva M
3 D. Bradarić M
33 L. Tchaouna F
9 S. Nwankwo F
Bench (9)
28 D. Bronn
22 C. Ikwuemesi
7 A. Martegani
19 T. Stewart
36 A. Sfait
11 E. Botheim
66 M. Lovato
1 V. Fiorillo
13 G. Ochoa

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Juventus

3-5-2
1 W. Szczęsny G
4 F. Gatti D
3 Bremer D
6 Danilo D
22 T. Weah M
16 W. McKennie M
41 H. Nicolussi M
25 A. Rabiot M
11 F. Kostić M
9 D. Vlahović F
15 K. Yıldız F
Bench (7)
24 D. Rugani
17 S. Iling-Junior
14 A. Milik
20 F. Miretti
47 J. Nonge Boende
23 C. Pinsoglio
36 M. Perin

Coach: M. Allegri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,27
U
4,61
B ✓
1,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.