Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Salernitana
Juventus
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | +35 | +25.5 | 48 |
| 2 |
Juventus
|
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | +16 | +15.9 | 43 |
| 3 |
Milan
|
19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | +15 | +4.8 | 39 |
| 4 |
Fiorentina
|
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | +8 | -1.2 | 33 |
| 5 |
Bologna
|
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | +6 | +5.4 | 32 |
| 6 |
Lazio
|
19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | +3 | +4.2 | 30 |
| 7 |
Atalanta
|
18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +9 | +5.4 | 29 |
| 8 |
Roma
|
18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +10 | +7.5 | 28 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | +4 | +11.2 | 28 |
| 10 |
Torino
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | +0 | +1.0 | 27 |
| 11 |
Monza
|
19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | -1 | -5.5 | 25 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -4 | -3.2 | 21 |
| 13 |
Lecce
|
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | -5 | -10.4 | 21 |
| 14 |
Sassuolo
|
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -7 | -7.2 | 19 |
| 15 |
Frosinone
|
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -9 | -6.9 | 19 |
| 16 |
Udinese
|
19 | 2 | 11 | 6 | -11 | -3.8 | 17 |
| 17 |
Cagliari
|
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -15 | -5.3 | 15 |
| 18 |
Verona
|
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -10 | -8.0 | 14 |
| 19 |
Empoli
|
19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -23 | -10.8 | 13 |
| 20 |
Salernitana
|
18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -21 | -18.6 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
F. Daniliuc
D
J. Sambia
M
M. Łęgowski
M
D. Bradarić
M
L. Tchaouna
F
Coach: F. Inzaghi
W. Szczęsny
G
F. Gatti
D
Bremer
D
T. Weah
M
W. McKennie
M
A. Rabiot
M
F. Kostić
M
D. Vlahović
F
K. Yıldız
F
Coach: M. Allegri
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Juventus
Salernitana
Verona
Salernitana
Salernitana
Milan
Atalanta
Salernitana
Salernitana
Bologna
M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.