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Super League
Referee: S Putros
2–1
Full-time
PAOK
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
1,5
3,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 16/18 matches
Win Ø 56%
44%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
44%
72%
Both score Ø 42%
44%
39%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,4
2,4
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
15 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 8. · PAOK 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 18 13 1 4 +31 40
2 PAOK 18 12 3 3 +31 39
3 AEK 17 11 5 1 +18 38
4 Olympiakos 17 11 3 3 +24 36
5 Aris 17 8 3 6 +4 27
6 Asteras Tripolis 19 8 2 9 -6 26
7 Atromitos 18 6 7 5 -3 25
8 Aris Thessalonikis 16 7 3 6 +3 24
9 Lamia 18 6 6 6 -8 24
10 OFI Crete 18 4 6 8 -13 18
11 Panserraikos 18 3 6 9 -14 15
12 Panetolikos 18 3 5 10 -15 14
13 Volos NFC 18 3 5 10 -18 14
14 Kifisia 18 2 7 9 -21 13
15 Giannina 18 2 6 10 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis PAOK
6′
🟨 Abdul Baba Rahman
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Suleymanov
K. Saverio
46′
48′
🟨 Soualiho Meïté
56′
🔁 G. Konstantelias
↦ T. Murg
2–0 K. Saverio
Loren Morón
59′
65′
🟨 Magomed Ozdoev
67′
🔁 S. Schwab
↦ S. Meïté
68′
🔁 Joan Sastre
↦ Vieirinha
68′
🔁 A. Živković
↦ K. Despodov
75′
A. Baba 2–1
S. Schwab
C. Doukouré 🔁
↦ N. Đurasek
81′
M. Panagidis 🔁
↦ K. Saverio
81′
81′
🔁 S. Tzimas
↦ Brandon Thomas
Jean Jules Mvondo 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Taison
Vladimír Darida 🟨
90′
Á. Zamora 🔁
↦ M. Suleymanov
95′
L. Rose 🔁
↦ J. Jules
95′
F. Ferrari 🔁
↦ Loren Morón
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián G
22 M. Odubajo D
4 Fabiano D
14 J. Brabec D
33 Martín Montoya D
30 J. Jules M
20 N. Đurasek M
93 M. Suleymanov M
16 V. Darida M
11 K. Saverio M
80 Loren Morón F
Bench (9)
8 C. Doukouré
77 M. Panagidis
12 Á. Zamora
92 L. Rose
3 F. Ferrari
6 Manu García
19 G. Fetfatzidis
94 L. Choutesiotis
21 Rubén Pardo

Coach: A. Mantzios

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
20 Vieirinha D
16 T. Kędziora D
4 K. Koulierakis D
21 A. Baba D
27 M. Ozdoev M
8 S. Meïté M
77 K. Despodov M
10 T. Murg M
11 Taison M
71 Brandon Thomas F
Bench (9)
7 G. Konstantelias
22 S. Schwab
23 Joan Sastre
14 A. Živković
95 S. Tzimas
18 Ž. Živković
5 G. Michailidis
6 T. Tsingaras
88 Marcos Antônio

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Putros · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.