← Match Finder
Ligue 1
Referee: Miguel Nogueira
Nantes
S S T T T
0–0
Full-time
Le Havre
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Nantes Le Havre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
25%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
58%
58%
Both score Ø 50%
58%
42%
Average goals
3,3
2,1
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,34 xG 0,24
61% Possession 39%
19 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 0
7 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nantes 10. · Le Havre 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 13 9 3 1 +23 +15.2 30
2 Nice 13 8 5 0 +10 +7.8 29
3 Monaco 13 7 3 3 +8 +4.5 24
4 Lille 12 5 5 2 +4 +6.2 20
5 Reims 12 6 2 4 +2 +2.3 20
6 Lens 13 5 4 4 +3 +4.0 19
7 Le Havre 12 3 6 3 -1 -5.7 15
8 Brest 11 4 3 4 -2 +1.1 15
9 Marseille 12 3 5 4 -1 +8.3 14
10 Nantes 12 4 2 6 -6 -6.2 14
11 Montpellier 11 3 4 4 +1 +2.7 13
12 Metz 12 3 4 5 -6 -9.8 13
13 Strasbourg 12 3 4 5 -6 -3.4 13
14 Rennes 12 2 6 4 +0 +3.3 12
15 Toulouse 13 2 6 5 -4 -10.3 12
16 Lorient 12 2 5 5 -6 -8.2 11
17 Clermont 12 2 3 7 -9 -5.7 9
18 Lyon 11 1 4 6 -10 -6.0 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Le Havre
Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. Ndiaye
↦ A. Logbo
M. Abline 🔁
↦ Mostafa Mohamed
59′
Adson 🔁
↦ I. Ganago
59′
65′
🔁 E. Sabbi
↦ A. Joujou
65′
🔁 A. Ayew
↦ L. Négo
67′
🟥 André Ayew
F. Mollet 🔁
↦ Douglas Augusto
70′
71′
🔁 Y. Kechta
↦ N. Alioui
J. Hadjam 🔁
↦ R. Pierre-Gabriel
77′
S. Moutoussamy 🔁
↦ M. Sissoko
77′
80′
🔁 Y. Salmier
↦ G. Lloris
85′
🟨 Rassoul Ndiaye
96′
🟨 Arouna Sangante
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Nantes

4-2-3-1
1 A. Lafont G
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
24 E. Cömert D
21 J. Castelletto D
2 J. Duverne D
5 Pedro Chirivella M
6 Douglas Augusto M
7 I. Ganago M
17 M. Sissoko M
27 M. Simon M
31 Mostafa Mohamed F
Bench (9)
39 M. Abline
20 Adson
25 F. Mollet
26 J. Hadjam
8 S. Moutoussamy
14 L. Diack
16 R. Descamps
4 N. Pallois
12 K. Bamba

Coach: P. Aristouy

Le Havre

4-4-1-1
30 A. Desmas G
93 A. Sangante D
6 É. Youté D
4 G. Lloris D
27 C. Operi D
7 L. Négo M
14 D. Kuzyaev M
94 A. Touré M
21 A. Joujou M
10 N. Alioui F
20 A. Logbo F
Bench (9)
19 R. Ndiaye
11 E. Sabbi
28 A. Ayew
8 Y. Kechta
22 Y. Salmier
45 I. Soumaré
29 S. Grandsir
16 M. Koné
17 O. El Hajjam

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,08
U ✓
3,42
B
3,68
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Miguel Nogueira · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.