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Süper Lig

Referee: V Bayarslan

İstanbulspor

S T T T T

1–5

Full-time

Fenerbahce

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

İstanbulspor Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,0

4,5

Scored

0,3

2,7

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 47%

12%

82%

Points per game

0,5

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

47%

65%

Both score Ø 47%

47%

Average goals

2,5

3,4

Scored

0,6

2,6

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

0,76 xG 3,12

47% Possession 53%

16 Shots 25

9 Shots on target 14

4 Blocked shots 4

9 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match İstanbulspor 20. · Fenerbahce 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	17	14	2	1	+30	+27.6	44
2	Galatasaray	17	14	2	1	+23	+23.8	44
3	Trabzonspor	18	10	3	5	+12	+0.9	33
4	Kayserispor	18	8	5	5	+2	-3.9	29
5	Rizespor	18	8	5	5	+1	-3.8	29
6	Besiktas	18	9	2	7	+0	+6.0	29
7	Ad. Demirspor	18	7	7	4	+9	-0.5	28
8	Kasimpasa	18	7	5	6	-2	-5.2	26
9	Antalyaspor	18	6	7	5	+4	-0.2	25
10	Sivasspor	18	6	6	6	-5	-2.2	24
11	Alanyaspor	18	5	6	7	-7	-1.0	21
12	Ankaragücü	18	4	8	6	-1	-3.4	20
13	Buyuksehyr	18	5	5	8	-3	-3.1	20
14	Gaziantep	18	6	2	10	-7	-6.7	20
15	Hatayspor	18	4	7	7	-1	+2.9	19
16	Konyaspor	17	4	6	7	-4	-2.4	18
17	Samsunspor	18	5	3	10	-9	+2.9	18
18	Karagumruk	18	4	5	9	-1	-7.5	17
19	Pendikspor	18	3	6	9	-21	-8.7	15
20	İstanbulspor	17	2	2	13	-20	-15.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	8	8	0	0	+14	+15.2	24
2	Fenerbahce	9	7	1	1	+16	+14.6	22
3	Ad. Demirspor	9	7	1	1	+14	+3.6	22
4	Rizespor	9	6	2	1	+9	+3.5	20
5	Kayserispor	10	5	3	2	+5	+3.6	18
6	Antalyaspor	10	4	5	1	+3	-0.8	17
7	Trabzonspor	8	5	1	2	+5	+2.2	16
8	Besiktas	9	5	1	3	+2	+3.3	16
9	Buyuksehyr	9	4	2	3	+4	+0.7	14
10	Samsunspor	9	4	2	3	+1	+2.7	14
11	Kasimpasa	9	4	2	3	-1	-3.2	14
12	Karagumruk	9	3	3	3	+3	-1.5	12
13	Hatayspor	8	3	3	2	+2	+1.9	12
14	Alanyaspor	9	3	3	3	+0	+2.1	12
15	Konyaspor	9	3	2	4	+1	+1.0	11
16	Ankaragücü	10	2	5	3	-1	+1.2	11
17	Gaziantep	9	3	2	4	-3	-4.5	11
18	Sivasspor	8	1	5	2	-2	+2.9	8
19	İstanbulspor	9	2	1	6	-8	-9.3	7
20	Pendikspor	8	1	3	4	-11	-6.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	8	7	1	0	+14	+13.0	22
2	Galatasaray	9	6	2	1	+9	+8.6	20
3	Trabzonspor	10	5	2	3	+7	-1.3	17
4	Sivasspor	10	5	1	4	-3	-5.1	16
5	Besiktas	9	4	1	4	-2	+2.6	13
6	Kasimpasa	9	3	3	3	-1	-2.0	12
7	Kayserispor	8	3	2	3	-3	-7.5	11
8	Ankaragücü	8	2	3	3	+0	-4.6	9
9	Gaziantep	9	3	0	6	-4	-2.3	9
10	Alanyaspor	9	2	3	4	-7	-3.1	9
11	Rizespor	9	2	3	4	-8	-7.3	9
12	Pendikspor	10	2	3	5	-10	-2.0	9
13	Antalyaspor	8	2	2	4	+1	+0.6	8
14	Hatayspor	10	1	4	5	-3	+1.0	7
15	Konyaspor	8	1	4	3	-5	-3.5	7
16	Ad. Demirspor	9	0	6	3	-5	-4.1	6
17	Buyuksehyr	9	1	3	5	-7	-3.7	6
18	Karagumruk	9	1	2	6	-4	-6.0	5
19	Samsunspor	9	1	1	7	-10	+0.2	4
20	İstanbulspor	8	0	1	7	-12	-6.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.