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Ligue 1

Referee: B Dechepy

Nice

S U U T T

6–1

Full-time

Montpellier

U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

35%

65%

Both score Ø 62%

59%

65%

Average goals

2,1

3,4

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%

16 Shots 4

10 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 12. · Montpellier 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	14	2	1	+33	44
2	Lens	17	12	4	1	+18	40
3	Marseille	17	11	3	3	+19	36
4	Rennes	18	10	4	4	+15	34
5	Monaco	17	10	3	4	+10	33
6	Lille	18	9	4	5	+6	31
7	Lorient	17	9	4	4	+4	31
8	Lyon	18	7	4	7	+6	25
9	Clermont	18	7	4	7	-4	25
10	Reims	18	5	9	4	-2	24
11	Toulouse	18	6	4	8	-5	22
12	Nice	17	5	6	6	-3	21
13	Troyes	17	4	6	7	-4	18
14	Nantes	18	3	9	6	-6	18
15	Montpellier	17	5	2	10	-4	17
16	Ajaccio	18	4	3	11	-12	15
17	Brest	18	3	5	10	-15	14
18	Auxerre	18	3	4	11	-24	13
19	Strasbourg	17	1	8	8	-11	11
20	Angers	17	2	2	13	-21	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	9	9	0	0	+14	27
2	Rennes	9	8	0	1	+16	24
3	Paris SG	8	7	1	0	+13	22
4	Marseille	9	6	1	2	+10	19
5	Lyon	9	5	2	2	+9	17
6	Lille	9	5	2	2	+0	17
7	Toulouse	9	4	3	2	+1	15
8	Nantes	9	3	5	1	+3	14
9	Monaco	9	4	2	3	+1	14
10	Lorient	8	4	1	3	+1	13
11	Clermont	9	4	1	4	-6	13
12	Reims	8	3	3	2	-1	12
13	Montpellier	9	3	1	5	-3	10
14	Troyes	8	1	6	1	-1	9
15	Nice	8	2	3	3	-3	9
16	Auxerre	9	2	3	4	-8	9
17	Ajaccio	9	2	1	6	-7	7
18	Brest	9	1	4	4	-10	7
19	Strasbourg	9	0	5	4	-7	5
20	Angers	9	1	1	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	1	1	+20	22
2	Monaco	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Lorient	9	5	3	1	+3	18
4	Marseille	8	5	2	1	+9	17
5	Lille	9	4	2	3	+6	14
6	Lens	8	3	4	1	+4	13
7	Clermont	9	3	3	3	+2	12
8	Nice	9	3	3	3	+0	12
9	Reims	10	2	6	2	-1	12
10	Rennes	9	2	4	3	-1	10
11	Troyes	9	3	0	6	-3	9
12	Lyon	9	2	2	5	-3	8
13	Ajaccio	9	2	2	5	-5	8
14	Montpellier	8	2	1	5	-1	7
15	Brest	9	2	1	6	-5	7
16	Toulouse	9	2	1	6	-6	7
17	Strasbourg	8	1	3	4	-4	6
18	Nantes	9	0	4	5	-9	4
19	Angers	8	1	1	6	-11	4
20	Auxerre	9	1	1	7	-16	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.