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Ligue 1
Referee: W Delajod
Ajaccio
S U S T S
0–1
Full-time
Reims
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 24%
24%
24%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
47%
41%
Both score Ø 56%
47%
65%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajaccio 16. · Reims 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 17 14 2 1 +33 44
2 Lens 17 12 4 1 +18 40
3 Marseille 17 11 3 3 +19 36
4 Rennes 17 10 4 3 +16 34
5 Monaco 17 10 3 4 +10 33
6 Lorient 17 9 4 4 +4 31
7 Lille 17 9 3 5 +6 30
8 Lyon 17 7 3 7 +6 24
9 Clermont 17 6 4 7 -5 22
10 Reims 17 4 9 4 -3 21
11 Nice 17 5 6 6 -3 21
12 Toulouse 17 5 4 8 -10 19
13 Troyes 17 4 6 7 -4 18
14 Montpellier 17 5 2 10 -4 17
15 Nantes 17 3 8 6 -6 17
16 Ajaccio 17 4 3 10 -11 15
17 Brest 17 3 4 10 -15 13
18 Auxerre 17 3 4 10 -19 13
19 Strasbourg 17 1 8 8 -11 11
20 Angers 17 2 2 13 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajaccio Reims
3′
M. Munetsi 0–1
E. Agbadou
4′
ℹ️ Marshall Munetsi
VAR: Goal confirmed
Mohamed Youssouf 🟨
16′
Riad Nouri 🟨
19′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 J. Cajuste
↦ A. Flips
50′
🟨 Thibault De Smet
59′
🔁 M. van Bergen
↦ A. Zeneli
Y. Belaïli 🔁
↦ B. Moussiti-Oko
65′
Mounaim El Idrissy 🟨
70′
70′
🟨 Folarin Balogun
76′
🔁 K. Sierhuis
↦ F. Balogun
F. Chabrolle 🔁
↦ V. Marchetti
77′
J. Botué 🔁
↦ M. El Idrissy
77′
77′
🔁 M. Adeline
↦ M. Munetsi
81′
🟨 Martin Adeline
C. Vidal 🔁
↦ C. Bayala
88′
M. Alphonse 🔁
↦ T. Mangani
88′
88′
🔁 R. Guitane
↦ J. Ito
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ajaccio

4-4-2
1 B. Leroy G
20 M. Youssouf D
25 O. Gonzalez D
77 F. Mayembo D
3 I. Diallo D
14 C. Bayala M
8 V. Marchetti M
23 T. Mangani M
5 R. Nouri M
7 M. El Idrissy F
11 B. Moussiti-Oko F
Bench (9)
92 Y. Belaïli
29 F. Chabrolle
18 J. Botué
15 C. Vidal
2 M. Alphonse
16 F. Sollacaro
21 C. Avinel
24 Ruan Levine
33 Paolo Lebas

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Reims

4-2-3-1
94 Y. Diouf G
32 T. Foket D
24 E. Agbadou D
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
25 T. De Smet D
15 M. Munetsi M
21 A. Matusiwa M
39 J. Ito M
70 A. Flips M
10 A. Zeneli M
29 F. Balogun F
Bench (9)
8 J. Cajuste
19 M. van Bergen
9 K. Sierhuis
18 M. Adeline
99 R. Guitane
4 M. Busi
1 P. Pentz
6 A. Gravillon
3 K. Doumbia

Coach: W. Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,07
U
3,19
B ✓
2,46
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.