Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Troyes
Marseille
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | +33 | 44 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | +18 | 40 |
| 3 |
Marseille
|
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +19 | 36 |
| 4 |
Rennes
|
18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | +15 | 34 |
| 5 |
Monaco
|
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 33 |
| 6 |
Lille
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +6 | 31 |
| 7 |
Lorient
|
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 31 |
| 8 |
Lyon
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | +6 | 25 |
| 9 |
Clermont
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 25 |
| 10 |
Reims
|
18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | -2 | 24 |
| 11 |
Toulouse
|
18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 |
Nice
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | -3 | 21 |
| 13 |
Troyes
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -4 | 18 |
| 14 |
Nantes
|
18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | -6 | 18 |
| 15 |
Montpellier
|
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 |
Ajaccio
|
18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -12 | 15 |
| 17 |
Brest
|
18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |
Auxerre
|
18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -24 | 13 |
| 19 |
Strasbourg
|
17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |
Angers
|
17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | -21 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Lis
G
T. Baldé
D
Y. Salmier
D
E. Palmer-Brown
D
Abdu Conté
D
R. Kouamé
M
Rony Lopes
M
Mama Baldé
M
R. Ripart
F
Coach: P. Kisnorbo
Pau López
G
L. Balerdi
D
I. Kaboré
M
V. Rongier
M
S. Kolašinac
M
C. Ünder
F
M. Guendouzi
F
Coach: I. Tudor
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lille
Troyes
Strasbourg
Troyes
Troyes
Nantes
Brest
Troyes
Troyes
Auxerre
H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.