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Ligue 1
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Troyes
U T U S T
0–2
Full-time
Marseille
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 45%
24%
65%
Points per game
1,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
71%
59%
Both score Ø 71%
82%
59%
Average goals
3,6
2,9
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

32% Possession 68%
5 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Troyes 13. · Marseille 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 17 14 2 1 +33 44
2 Lens 17 12 4 1 +18 40
3 Marseille 17 11 3 3 +19 36
4 Rennes 18 10 4 4 +15 34
5 Monaco 17 10 3 4 +10 33
6 Lille 18 9 4 5 +6 31
7 Lorient 17 9 4 4 +4 31
8 Lyon 18 7 4 7 +6 25
9 Clermont 18 7 4 7 -4 25
10 Reims 18 5 9 4 -2 24
11 Toulouse 18 6 4 8 -5 22
12 Nice 17 5 6 6 -3 21
13 Troyes 17 4 6 7 -4 18
14 Nantes 18 3 9 6 -6 18
15 Montpellier 17 5 2 10 -4 17
16 Ajaccio 18 4 3 11 -12 15
17 Brest 18 3 5 10 -15 14
18 Auxerre 18 3 4 11 -24 13
19 Strasbourg 17 1 8 8 -11 11
20 Angers 17 2 2 13 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Troyes Marseille
10′
C. Mbemba 0–1
M. Guendouzi
15′
🟨 Issa Kaboré
Half-time 0–2
46′
J. Veretout 0–2
C. Ünder
Rominigue Kouamé 🟨
47′
54′
🟨 Chancel Mbemba
67′
🟨 Ruslan Malinovskyi
67′
🔁 R. Malinovskyi
↦ I. Kaboré
F. Tardieu 🔁
↦ R. Kouamé
68′
Renaud Ripart 🟨
73′
75′
🔁 P. Gueye
↦ S. Kolašinac
75′
🔁 B. Dieng
↦ A. Sánchez
Y. Larouci 🔁
↦ R. Ripart
77′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Troyes

4-2-3-1
1 M. Lis G
18 T. Baldé D
17 Y. Salmier D
4 E. Palmer-Brown D
12 Abdu Conté D
6 R. Kouamé M
24 X. Chavalerin M
19 A. Bruus M
11 Rony Lopes M
7 Mama Baldé M
20 R. Ripart F
Bench (9)
10 F. Tardieu
39 Y. Larouci
22 T. Zoukrou
31 D. Dongmo
30 G. Gallon
23 A. Rami
9 I. Ugbo
14 A. Ahmed Fatah
2 J. Porozo

Coach: P. Kisnorbo

Marseille

3-4-2-1
16 Pau López G
99 C. Mbemba D
4 S. Gigot D
5 L. Balerdi D
29 I. Kaboré M
21 V. Rongier M
27 J. Veretout M
23 S. Kolašinac M
17 C. Ünder F
6 M. Guendouzi F
70 A. Sánchez F
Bench (8)
18 R. Malinovskyi
22 P. Gueye
12 B. Dieng
33 F. Mughe
1 S. Ngapandouetnbu
36 Rubén Blanco
47 B. Elmaz
32 S. Ben Seghir

Coach: I. Tudor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,79
U
4,05
B ✓
1,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.