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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Clermont
U T T S U
2–1
Full-time
Rennes
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 47%
35%
59%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
47%
71%
Both score Ø 68%
59%
76%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Clermont 9. · Rennes 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 17 14 2 1 +33 44
2 Lens 17 12 4 1 +18 40
3 Marseille 17 11 3 3 +19 36
4 Rennes 17 10 4 3 +16 34
5 Monaco 17 10 3 4 +10 33
6 Lorient 17 9 4 4 +4 31
7 Lille 17 9 3 5 +6 30
8 Lyon 17 7 3 7 +6 24
9 Clermont 17 6 4 7 -5 22
10 Reims 17 4 9 4 -3 21
11 Nice 17 5 6 6 -3 21
12 Toulouse 17 5 4 8 -10 19
13 Troyes 17 4 6 7 -4 18
14 Montpellier 17 5 2 10 -4 17
15 Nantes 17 3 8 6 -6 17
16 Ajaccio 17 4 3 10 -11 15
17 Brest 17 3 4 10 -15 13
18 Auxerre 17 3 4 10 -19 13
19 Strasbourg 17 1 8 8 -11 11
20 Angers 17 2 2 13 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Clermont Rennes
17′
ℹ️ Lesley Ugochukwu
VAR: Penalty cancelled
1–0 G. Kyei
S. Khaoui
31′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Benjamin Bourigeaud
60′
🔁 L. Majer
↦ F. Tait
61′
🔁 D. Doué
↦ J. Doku
74′
A. Kalimuendo 1–1
B. Bourigeaud
75′
🔁 B. Meling
↦ A. Truffert
77′
🟨 Benjamin Bourigeaud
77′
🟥 Benjamin Bourigeaud
M. Zeffane 🔁
↦ J. Allevinah
78′
K. Andrić 🔁
↦ G. Kyei
79′
83′
🟥 Warmed Omari
83′
ℹ️ Warmed Omari
VAR: Card upgrade
85′
🔁 C. Wooh
↦ A. Gouiri
F. Ogier 🔁
↦ M. Wieteska
90′
M. Cham 🔁
↦ S. Khaoui
90′
2–1 J. Gastien
K. Andrić
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Clermont

3-4-2-1
99 M. Diaw G
36 A. Seidu D
4 M. Wieteska D
5 M. Caufriez D
11 J. Allevinah M
7 Y. Magnin M
25 J. Gastien M
3 Neto Borges M
10 S. Khaoui F
18 E. Rashani F
95 G. Kyei F
Bench (9)
2 M. Zeffane
9 K. Andrić
21 F. Ogier
70 M. Cham
40 O. Djoco
31 B. Diallo
23 B. Baiye
20 J. Dossou
97 Y. Massolin

Coach: P. Gastien

Rennes

4-4-2
30 S. Mandanda G
27 H. Traoré D
23 W. Omari D
5 A. Theate D
3 A. Truffert D
14 B. Bourigeaud M
6 L. Ugochukwu M
20 F. Tait M
11 J. Doku M
9 A. Kalimuendo F
19 A. Gouiri F
Bench (9)
21 L. Majer
33 D. Doué
25 B. Meling
15 C. Wooh
22 L. Assignon
1 D. Alemdar
31 G. Doué
10 K. Sulemana
2 J. Rodon

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,92
U
3,63
B
1,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.