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KNVB Beker

Referee: P van Boekel

Heerenveen

T S T S T

0–1

Full-time

Feyenoord

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Feyenoord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

3,2

4,3

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

This season — KNVB Beker · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,7

6,0

Scored

2,7

3,5

Conceded

1,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

17 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 7

9 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 3. · Feyenoord 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Spakenburg	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	De Graafschap	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Heerenveen	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Den Haag	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	De Treffers	4	3	0	1	+2	9
7	Nijmegen	3	2	1	0	+5	7
8	Katwijk	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+5	6
10	Hercules	3	2	0	1	+4	6
11	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Go Ahead Eagles	3	2	0	1	+2	6
15	HV & CV Quick	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	NAC Breda	3	2	0	1	+1	6
17	FC Emmen	3	2	0	1	+0	6
18	URK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
19	Sportlust '46	3	2	0	1	-1	6
20	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	4
21	Staphorst	3	1	1	1	+1	4
22	Hoek	3	1	1	1	+0	4
23	Kozakken Boys	3	1	1	1	-1	4
24	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
25	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Twente	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Den Bosch	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Dongen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Almere City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
53	RKAV Volendam	2	0	1	1	-2	1
54	DEM	2	0	1	1	-3	1
55	Harkemase Boys	2	0	1	1	-4	1
56	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Treffers	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Spakenburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+3	3
6	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Staphorst	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Blauw Geel	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Twente	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	URK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
23	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	Almere City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
25	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
26	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Kozakken Boys	2	0	1	1	-2	1
33	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	DEM	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Sportlust '46	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Utrecht	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Spakenburg	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	HV & CV Quick	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	FC Emmen	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Nijmegen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
11	Katwijk	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Hoek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Kozakken Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	URK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Excelsior '31	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Harkemase Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Staphorst	2	0	1	1	-2	1
38	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.