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Premier League
Referee: P Tierney
Liverpool
T S S T U
2–0
Full-time
Wolves
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 23/24 matches
Win Ø 34%
43%
25%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
61%
42%
Both score Ø 45%
52%
38%
Average goals
2,9
2,1
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,61 xG 0,92
57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Liverpool 7. · Wolves 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Arsenal 25 19 3 3 +33 +6.4 60
2 Man City 25 17 4 4 +39 +9.3 55
3 Man United 24 15 4 5 +13 +2.9 49
4 Tottenham 25 14 3 8 +11 -0.4 45
5 Newcastle 23 10 11 2 +20 +0.9 41
6 Fulham 25 11 6 8 +5 -1.9 39
7 Liverpool 23 10 6 7 +10 +1.7 36
8 Brighton 22 10 5 7 +10 +5.8 35
9 Brentford 23 8 11 4 +7 +1.7 35
10 Chelsea 24 8 7 9 -2 +1.4 31
11 Aston Villa 24 9 4 11 -8 -5.7 31
12 Crystal Palace 24 6 9 9 -10 -4.6 27
13 Nott'm Forest 24 6 7 11 -24 -4.7 25
14 Leicester 24 7 3 14 -6 -3.5 24
15 Wolves 24 6 6 12 -15 -1.7 24
16 West Ham 24 6 5 13 -6 +3.1 23
17 Leeds 24 5 7 12 -10 -0.5 22
18 Everton 25 5 6 14 -19 -3.7 21
19 Bournemouth 24 5 6 13 -26 -3.0 21
20 Southampton 24 5 3 16 -22 -3.5 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Liverpool Wolves
Stefan Bajčetić 🟨
15′
24′
🔁 R. Aït Nouri
↦ Hugo Bueno
36′
🟨 Nélson Semedo
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Adama Traoré
↦ Pablo Sarabia
49′
🟨 Pablo Sarabia
Fabinho 🟨
53′
64′
🔁 Daniel Podence
↦ João Moutinho
64′
🔁 João Gomes
↦ Matheus Nunes
66′
🟨 Rúben Neves
Darwin Núñez ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
67′
1–0 V. van Dijk
Diogo Jota
73′
C. Gakpo 🔁
↦ Diogo Jota
76′
2–0 Mohamed Salah
K. Tsimikas
77′
J. Henderson 🔁
↦ Stefan Bajčetić
79′
79′
🔁 Diego Costa
↦ R. Jiménez
J. Milner 🔁
↦ T. Alexander-Arnold
89′
Roberto Firmino 🔁
↦ D. Núñez
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Liverpool

4-3-3
1 Alisson G
66 T. Alexander-Arnold D
5 I. Konaté D
4 V. van Dijk D
21 K. Tsimikas D
19 H. Elliott M
3 Fabinho M
43 Stefan Bajčetić M
11 Mohamed Salah F
20 Diogo Jota F
27 D. Núñez F
Bench (9)
18 C. Gakpo
14 J. Henderson
7 J. Milner
9 Roberto Firmino
28 Fábio Carvalho
32 J. Matip
62 C. Kelleher
26 A. Robertson
15 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain

Coach: J. Klopp

Wolves

4-2-3-1
1 José Sá G
22 Nélson Semedo D
15 C. Dawson D
23 M. Kilman D
64 Hugo Bueno D
8 Rúben Neves M
5 M. Lemina M
21 Pablo Sarabia M
28 João Moutinho M
27 Matheus Nunes M
9 R. Jiménez F
Bench (9)
3 R. Aït Nouri
37 Adama Traoré
10 Daniel Podence
35 João Gomes
29 Diego Costa
19 Jonny Castro
4 N. Collins
25 D. Bentley
7 Pedro Neto

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,49
U
4,59
B
6,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,73
U2,5 ✓
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Tierney · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.