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Serie B

Referee: M Gariglio

Modena

T S S U T

0–1

Full-time

Ascoli

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 35%

38%

31%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

54%

38%

Both score Ø 56%

62%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

11 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Modena 10. · Ascoli 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	26	17	4	5	+25	55
2	Genoa	26	13	8	5	+12	47
3	Bari	26	11	10	5	+16	43
4	Reggina	27	13	3	11	+9	42
5	Pisa	27	10	11	6	+12	41
6	Sudtirol	26	10	11	5	+1	41
7	Parma	27	10	7	10	+3	37
8	Cagliari	26	9	10	7	+2	37
9	Palermo	27	9	10	8	-2	37
10	Modena	26	10	5	11	+2	35
11	Ternana	27	9	8	10	-7	35
12	Ascoli	26	8	9	9	-2	33
13	Cittadella	26	8	9	9	-8	33
14	Como	26	7	10	9	-4	31
15	Perugia	26	8	5	13	-3	29
16	Venezia	26	7	8	11	-5	29
17	Benevento	26	6	9	11	-6	27
18	Cosenza	27	6	8	13	-20	26
19	Spal	26	5	10	11	-7	25
20	Brescia	26	6	7	13	-18	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	13	10	2	1	+17	32
2	Cagliari	13	8	3	2	+6	27
3	Genoa	13	6	6	1	+9	24
4	Reggina	13	7	2	4	+9	23
5	Palermo	14	6	5	3	+4	23
6	Parma	14	7	1	6	+5	22
7	Ternana	13	6	4	3	+3	22
8	Pisa	13	6	3	4	+8	21
9	Cosenza	14	5	5	4	+1	20
10	Sudtirol	14	4	8	2	+1	20
11	Modena	12	5	4	3	+7	19
12	Como	13	5	4	4	+3	19
13	Bari	13	4	6	3	+7	18
14	Perugia	12	5	3	4	+3	18
15	Cittadella	12	4	5	3	-1	17
16	Brescia	14	4	4	6	-4	16
17	Ascoli	13	3	5	5	-3	14
18	Spal	13	3	4	6	+0	13
19	Venezia	14	3	4	7	-6	13
20	Benevento	13	3	3	7	-6	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	13	7	4	2	+9	25
2	Frosinone	13	7	2	4	+8	23
3	Genoa	13	7	2	4	+3	23
4	Sudtirol	12	6	3	3	+0	21
5	Pisa	14	4	8	2	+4	20
6	Ascoli	13	5	4	4	+1	19
7	Reggina	14	6	1	7	+0	19
8	Venezia	12	4	4	4	+1	16
9	Modena	14	5	1	8	-5	16
10	Cittadella	14	4	4	6	-7	16
11	Benevento	13	3	6	4	+0	15
12	Parma	13	3	6	4	-2	15
13	Palermo	13	3	5	5	-6	14
14	Ternana	14	3	4	7	-10	13
15	Como	13	2	6	5	-7	12
16	Spal	13	2	6	5	-7	12
17	Perugia	14	3	2	9	-6	11
18	Cagliari	13	1	7	5	-4	10
19	Brescia	12	2	3	7	-14	9
20	Cosenza	13	1	3	9	-21	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.