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Serie B
Referee: D Perenzoni
Perugia
S S T S T
0–0
Full-time
Como
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Como
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 29%
31%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
42%
35%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
18 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Perugia 15. · Como 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 26 17 4 5 +25 55
2 Genoa 26 13 8 5 +12 47
3 Bari 26 11 10 5 +16 43
4 Reggina 27 13 3 11 +9 42
5 Pisa 27 10 11 6 +12 41
6 Sudtirol 26 10 11 5 +1 41
7 Parma 27 10 7 10 +3 37
8 Cagliari 26 9 10 7 +2 37
9 Palermo 27 9 10 8 -2 37
10 Modena 26 10 5 11 +2 35
11 Ternana 27 9 8 10 -7 35
12 Ascoli 26 8 9 9 -2 33
13 Cittadella 26 8 9 9 -8 33
14 Como 26 7 10 9 -4 31
15 Perugia 26 8 5 13 -3 29
16 Venezia 26 7 8 11 -5 29
17 Benevento 26 6 9 11 -6 27
18 Cosenza 27 6 8 13 -20 26
19 Spal 26 5 10 11 -7 25
20 Brescia 26 6 7 13 -18 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Perugia Como
6′
🟨 Alessio Iovine
Simone Santoro 🟨
8′
15′
🟨 Álex Blanco
Ryder Matos 🟨
42′
45′
🔁 J. Da Riva
↦ A. Iovine
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 V. Parigini
↦ Álex Blanco
52′
🟨 Luca Vignali
Marco Olivieri ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
59′
S. Di Carmine 🔁
↦ Ryder Matos
60′
65′
🔁 A. Cerri
↦ A. Gabrielloni
67′
🟨 Alberto Cerri
Edoardo Iannoni 🟨
68′
71′
🟨 Filippo Scaglia
P. Bartolomei 🔁
↦ L. Capezzi
77′
78′
🟨 Cas Odenthal
Samuel Di Carmine 🟨
79′
F. Sgarbi 🔁
↦ A. Struna
81′
A. Seghetti 🔁
↦ M. Olivieri
81′
D. Cancellieri 🔁
↦ E. Iannoni
82′
85′
🔁 P. Cutrone
↦ L. Mancuso
85′
🔁 A. Cagnano
↦ L. Vignali
92′
🟨 Andrea Cagnano
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Perugia

3-4-1-2
1 S. Gori G
90 A. Struna D
21 M. Curado D
6 S. Vulikić D
4 E. Iannoni M
82 L. Capezzi M
25 S. Santoro M
23 F. Lisi M
13 G. Luperini F
10 Ryder Matos F
11 M. Olivieri F
Bench (12)
18 S. Di Carmine
16 P. Bartolomei
97 F. Sgarbi
78 A. Seghetti
3 D. Cancellieri
7 M. Vulić
81 A. Abibi
92 F. Sulejmani
77 Y. Ebnoutalib
12 J. Furlan
2 A. Rosi
49 L. Baldi

Coach: F. Castori

Como

3-5-2
32 A. Gomis G
26 C. Odenthal D
23 F. Scaglia D
2 L. Binks D
28 L. Vignali M
6 A. Iovine M
14 A. Bellemo M
21 T. Arrigoni M
19 Álex Blanco M
77 L. Mancuso F
9 A. Gabrielloni F
Bench (12)
5 J. Da Riva
11 V. Parigini
27 A. Cerri
63 P. Cutrone
3 A. Cagnano
8 P. Faragò
15 S. Canestrelli
45 E. Pierozzi
4 Cesc Fàbregas
33 L. da Cunha
1 S. Ghidotti
7 M. Chajia

Coach: M. Longo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U ✓
3,13
B
3,27
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Perenzoni · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.