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Referee: S van der Eijk

Hercules

U S T S S

1–6

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hercules Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,8

2,8

Scored

3,0

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%

9 Shots 27

1 Shots on target 13

1 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 9

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Noordwijk	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Eemdijk	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	AFC Amsterdam	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Ijsselmeervogels	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Hercules	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	ASWH	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Winterswijk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
10	Rijnsburgse Boys	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	Quick '20	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	Dovo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	OJC Rosmalen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	SC Genemuiden	3	2	0	1	+1	6
17	Rijnvogels	3	2	0	1	-2	6
18	FC Lisse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Kolping Boys	3	1	1	1	-3	4
20	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+7	3
21	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
26	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	MVV	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	ADO '20	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	RKAVV	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Vvsb	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Ajax Amateurs	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Achilles Veen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Hoek	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	TEC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
48	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
53	Zwaluw VFC	2	0	1	1	-3	1
54	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sparta Nijkerk	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Barendrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	AFC Amsterdam	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	ASWH	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Noordwijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Rijnsburgse Boys	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Quick Boys	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	TEC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Waalwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	ADO '20	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Juliana '31	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	MVV	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Eemdijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Achilles Veen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Winterswijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	HV & CV Quick	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	SC Genemuiden	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-5	3
29	HBC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Smitshoek	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Elinkwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	EVV	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	DVS 33 Ermelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	DEM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Ajax Amateurs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	RKAVV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	GOES	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	De Bilt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	FC 's-Gravenzande	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	ACV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	De Treffers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Heerjansdam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Kolping Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	ROHDA Raalte	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ijsselmeervogels	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Quick '20	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Kolping Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	FC Lisse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+7	3
8	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Rijnvogels	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Winterswijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	RKAVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Vvsb	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Ajax Amateurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	SC Genemuiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	OJC Rosmalen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Capelle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Olde Veste '54	2	0	1	1	-1	1
31	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	SDC Putten	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	URK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Achilles Veen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Geldrop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	SVBO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	DAW Schaijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Forum Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	UNA	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	GVVV Veenendaal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	TEC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Laar	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.