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Copa del Rey

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra

Vic

0–2

Full-time

Ath Madrid

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vic Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

4,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+4,0

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Vic	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Girona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Elche	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Granada	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Salamanca UDS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Conquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
40	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
41	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
42	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	San Tirso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
89	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Vic	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Salamanca UDS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Conquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	San Tirso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
40	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
43	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Girona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Elche	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Granada	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vic Ath Madrid

Half-time 0–0

46′

🔁 Koke

↦ Javi Serrano

46′

🔁 Javi Galán

↦ A. Sørloth

46′

🔁 T. Lemar

↦ I. Kostis

R. Cunill Macia 🟨

48′

58′

🔁 J. Alvarez

↦ Rodrigo Riquelme

Marcel Bellido 🔁

↦ Arnau Prat

64′

Marc Colomer 🔁

↦ Pius Quer

65′

67′

🔁 A. Griezmann

↦ T. Lemar

Max Morell 🔁

↦ Ignasi Quer

71′

Alfons Senyé 🔁

↦ Dídac Serra

71′

A. Senye Palacios 🟨

74′

A. Senye Palacios 🟨

80′

A. Senye Palacios 🟥

80′

Ignasi Armengou 🔁

↦ Ot Bofill

81′

⚽ J. Alvarez 0–1

D. Busquets Sala 🟨

85′

89′

⚽ J. Alvarez 0–2

Á. Correa

Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Vic

13 Agustín Mora

21 Nil Pradas

17 Roger Cunill

4 Gil Bertrana

2 David Busquets

3 Ot Bofill

6 Martí Riera

11 Dídac Serra

20 Pius Quer

23 Arnau Prat

9 Ignasi Quer

Bench (11)

22 Marcel Bellido

14 Marc Colomer

10 Max Morell

16 Alfons Senyé

7 Ignasi Armengou

1 Sergi Taulats

18 Izan Pérez

19 Marc Domènech

24 E. Diaby

15 Edgar Banús

5 Joan Castanyer

Coach: Ramonet

Ath Madrid

J. Musso

A. Witsel

Reinildo

N. Molina

27 I. Kostis

C. Gallagher

Rodrigo Riquelme

29 Javi Serrano

A. Sørloth

10 Á. Correa

G. Simeone

Bench (11)

6 Koke

21 Javi Galán

11 T. Lemar

19 J. Alvarez

7 A. Griezmann

31 Antonio Gomis

13 J. Oblak

41 Carlos Giménez

5 R. De Paul

2 J. Giménez

12 Samuel Lino

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

9. Oct CDR 1 year ago

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,0 / match

Above average

⚽ Free kicks

25,8 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Vic

Ath Madrid

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee