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Copa del Rey

Referee: Jon González

Cuarte

1–3

Full-time

Ferrol

S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Deportiva Minera	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Barbastro	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Girona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Elche	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Vic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Granada	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Salamanca UDS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Conquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
46	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
47	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Real Ávila	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	San Tirso	2	0	1	1	-4	1
59	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Don Benito	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
97	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
98	Tudelano	1	0	0	1	-5	0
99	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chiclana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Barbastro	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Vic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Salamanca UDS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Conquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
13	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Gévora	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Real Ávila	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	San Tirso	2	0	1	1	-4	1
19	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Don Benito	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
46	Tudelano	1	0	0	1	-5	0
47	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Deportiva Minera	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Celta	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Girona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Valladolid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Elche	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Granada	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cuarte Ferrol

D. Solbes 🟨

8′

⚽ Manu Vallejo 0–1

22′

🟨 D. Castro

32′

⚽ Eneko Jauregi 0–2

Manu Vallejo

Half-time 0–2

60′

🔁 Moi Delgado

↦ Aitor Buñuel

61′

🔁 Álvaro Giménez

↦ Eneko Jauregi

L. Sanchez 🟨

62′

63′

⚽ Álvaro Giménez 0–3

Diego Tena 🔁

↦ Alberto de Sus

65′

Francisco Valdés 🔁

↦ Javier Rami

66′

Íñigo Pérez 🔁

↦ S. Gassama

81′

86′

🔁 Chiki

↦ Álvaro Sanz

Jorge Ruiz 🔁

↦ Adri

88′

A. Peralta 🟥

89′

Cristian Gutiérrez 🔁

↦ Roberto Pérez

89′

1–3 Daniel Solbes ⚽

92′

Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Cuarte

1 Rafa Hidalgo

8 Lucho Sánchez

2 Diego Crespo

20 Roberto Pérez

14 Daniel Solbes

5 Adri

22 Javier Rami

11 Arturo Peralta

19 Alberto de Sus

9 S. Gassama

10 M. Rekrouk

Bench (11)

21 Diego Tena

7 Francisco Valdés

18 Íñigo Pérez

3 Jorge Ruiz

28 Cristian Gutiérrez

15 H. Bouayadi

26 Alejandro Izquierdo

25 Emilio Solbes

13 Marcos Alba

27 Victor Martin

29 Felix Quintana

Coach: Loreto

Ferrol

13 Yoel Rodríguez

22 Aitor Buñuel

15 David Castro

2 Julián Delmás

4 A. Puric

8 Álex López

6 Álvaro Sanz

26 David Carballo

Eneko Jauregi

11 Nacho Sánchez

19 Manu Vallejo

Bench (6)

21 Moi Delgado

20 Álvaro Giménez

7 Chiki

1 Emilio Bernad

12 Bebé

25 Jesús Ruiz

Coach: Cristóbal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

Jon González · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,4 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

24,4 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Cuarte

Ferrol

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee