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Super League
Referee: D Huwiler
Grasshoppers
U S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Lugano
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grasshoppers Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 37%
18%
55%
Points per game
0,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
73%
55%
Both score Ø 64%
55%
73%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%
16 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 9
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Grasshoppers 11. · Lugano 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zurich 12 7 3 2 +7 -1.0 24
2 Servette 11 7 2 2 +3 -0.5 23
3 Lugano 11 6 3 2 +5 -0.3 21
4 Basel 12 6 1 5 +12 +5.9 19
5 Luzern 11 5 3 3 +4 +3.1 18
6 Lausanne 12 5 2 5 +2 +7.8 17
7 St. Gallen 12 4 4 4 +5 -3.5 16
8 Yverdon 12 4 3 5 -5 -7.7 15
9 Sion 12 3 4 5 -2 +7.0 13
10 Young Boys 12 3 3 6 -6 -1.9 12
11 Grasshoppers 11 2 2 7 -8 +1.1 8
12 Winterthur 12 2 2 8 -17 -10.2 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grasshoppers Lugano
17′
🟨 Daniel Dos Santos Correia
1–0 N. Muci
G. Morandi
30′
Adama Bojang 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–1
52′
I. Aliseda 1–1
A. Grgic
55′
🔁 R. Steffen
↦ Y. Cimignani
55′
🔁 U. Bislimi
↦ Daniel Dos Santos
62′
🔁 S. Vladi
↦ K. Przybyłko
62′
🔁 M. Hadj Mahmoud
↦ O. Doumbia
T. Verón Lupi 🔁
↦ A. Bojang
66′
Young-Jun Lee 🟨
68′
68′
🟨 Anto Grgić
P. Schürpf 🔁
↦ N. Muci
75′
Tomas Veron Lupi 🟨
78′
79′
🔁 M. Bottani
↦ A. Grgic
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Grasshoppers

4-2-3-1
71 J. Hammel G
2 D. Abels D
26 M. Paskotši D
15 A. Seko D
16 N. Persson D
53 T. Meyer M
19 M. Choinière M
25 A. Bojang M
10 G. Morandi M
9 N. Muci M
18 Lee Young-Jun F
Bench (9)
17 T. Verón Lupi
11 P. Schürpf
29 M. Kuttin
22 B. Schmitz
8 S. Kittel
21 A. Mabil
58 Y. Bettkober
77 F. de Carvalho
28 S. Stroscio

Coach: M. Schällibaum

Lugano

4-2-3-1
1 A. Saipi G
2 Z. Brault-Guillard D
6 A. Papadopoulos D
5 A. Hajdari D
26 Martim Marques D
20 O. Doumbia M
8 A. Grgic M
21 Y. Cimignani M
27 Daniel Dos Santos M
31 I. Aliseda M
93 K. Przybyłko F
Bench (9)
11 R. Steffen
25 U. Bislimi
9 S. Vladi
29 M. Hadj Mahmoud
10 M. Bottani
58 S. Osigwe
22 A. El Wafi
23 M. Valenzuela
18 H. Mahou

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.