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Copa del Rey
Referee: Gonzalo González
1–2
Full-time
Andorra
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Deportiva Minera 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Chiclana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Girona 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Vic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
18 Barakaldo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Granada 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Santander 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Zamora 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Europa Fc 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Orihuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Marbella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Salamanca UDS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Conquense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 UD San Pedro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
45 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
46 Olot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Ontiñena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Gévora 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Escobedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Ponferradina 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Real Ávila 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Oviedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 San Tirso 2 0 1 1 -4 1
58 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Langreo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Bergantiños 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 SS Reyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Numancia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Atlético Paso 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Alcorcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Badalona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Cortes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Móstoles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 CD Coria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Extremadura 1924 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
96 Tudelano 1 0 0 1 -5 0
97 Laredo 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Don Benito Andorra
7′
A. Ndiaye 0–1
Joel Arumí
1–1 Javier Tapia
16′
E. Attipoe 🟨
18′
Half-time 1–1
Raly Cabral 🔁
↦ Antonio Vera
46′
Álvaro Cámara 🔁
↦ E. Aguado
58′
64′
🔁 Manu Nieto
↦ L. de León
64′
🔁 Álvaro Peña
↦ A. Ndiaye
65′
🔁 Luismi Redondo
↦ C. Albanis
Julio Rodao 🔁
↦ Javier Tapia
73′
Dani Salas 🔁
↦ O. Chit
73′
78′
Jesús Clemente 1–2
Luismi Redondo
84′
🔁 Erik Morán
↦ Josep Cerdà
A. Ponce 🟨
86′
90′
🟨 L. Redondo
A. Ponce 🟨
90′
A. Ponce 🟥
90′
Domingo Domingo 🟨
90′
93′
🔁 J. Fuentes
↦ Álvaro Martín
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Don Benito

13 Pablo Rodríguez
15 Matheus Teixeira
20 Marvin Anieboh
24 E. Attipoe
16 Mario Sánchez
5 Antonio Ponce
6 Javier Tapia
11 Borja Domingo
7 Antonio Vera
14 E. Aguado
9 O. Chit
Bench (10)
17 Raly Cabral
12 Álvaro Cámara
8 Julio Rodao
10 Dani Salas
19 Pau Tejón
3 R. Ochiroşii
1 Sebas Gil
22 Lolo Pavón
18 David Rosón
21 Álex Benítez

Coach: Juan Marrero

Andorra

13 Oier
4 Pablo Trigueros
5 César Morgado
2 Joel Arumí
14 Sergio Molina
10 Álvaro Martín
12 A. Ndiaye
19 C. Albanis
11 L. de León
17 Jesús Clemente
21 Josep Cerdà
Bench (11)
9 Manu Nieto
16 Álvaro Peña
15 Luismi Redondo
8 Erik Morán
7 J. Fuentes
24 Pau Casadesús
18 Marc Bombardó
1 N. Ratti
22 Berto Rosas
26 Bilal Achhiba
23 Diego Alende

Coach: Ferran Costa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.