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Puchar Polski
Referee: K Jakubik
0–1
Full-time
Rakow
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Górnik Łęczna Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 79%
75%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
0,8
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,7
This season — Puchar Polski · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 88%
75%
100%
Points per game
2,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,8
1,7
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Górnik Łęczna 5. · Rakow 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Pogoń Siedlce 5 4 0 1 +5 12
3 Motor Lublin 5 4 0 1 +3 12
4 Kalisz 6 3 2 1 +8 11
5 Górnik Łęczna 4 3 1 0 +3 10
6 Rakow 3 3 0 0 +5 9
7 Radomiak Radom 3 2 1 0 +5 7
8 Slask Wroclaw 4 2 1 1 +3 7
9 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 3 2 1 0 +3 7
10 Gornik Zabrze 3 2 1 0 +2 7
11 Lechia Zielona Góra 4 2 1 1 +0 7
12 Piast Gliwice 3 2 0 1 +3 6
13 Resovia Rzeszów 3 2 0 1 +1 6
14 Radunia Stężyca 3 2 0 1 +0 6
15 Wisla 3 1 1 1 +4 4
16 Lechia Gdansk 2 1 1 0 +3 4
17 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 2 1 1 0 +3 4
18 Puszcza 2 1 1 0 +1 4
19 Olimpia Elbląg 3 1 1 1 +1 4
20 Stal Rzeszów 2 1 1 0 +1 4
21 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +3 3
22 Cracovia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Jastrzębie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 GKS Katowice 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +1 3
26 Ruch Chorzow 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Chrobry Głogów 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Wisla Plock 2 1 0 1 -1 3
31 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
33 Widzew Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 LKS Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Garbarnia Kraków 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Arka Gdynia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Pogon Szczecin 2 0 1 1 -1 1
38 Korona Kielce 2 0 1 1 -1 1
39 Stal Mielec 2 0 1 1 -3 1
40 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Podbeskidzie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Wikielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Lechia Dzierżoniów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Łagów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Znicz Pruszków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Pogoń Szczecin II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Sokół Ostróda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
63 Chełmianka Chełm 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Radomsko 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Bałtyk Gdynia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Wigry Suwałki 1 0 0 1 -4 0
67 Start Jełowa 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Górnik Łęczna Rakow
33′
🟨 Zoran Arsenić
Daniel Dziwniel 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 V. Kochergin
↦ G. Berggren
47′
⚽ B. Nowak 0–1
Ł. Szramowski 🔁
↦ D. Tkacz
58′
D. Gąska 🔁
↦ S. Krykun
62′
66′
🔁 B. Lederman
↦ B. Nowak
H. Sobol 🔁
↦ K. Podliński
74′
V. Lykhovydko 🔁
↦ M. Pawlik
74′
78′
🔁 S. Musiolik
↦ V. Gutkovskis
79′
🔁 M. Cebula
↦ Ivi López
91′
🔁 P. Kun
↦ Jean Carlos
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Górnik Łęczna

4-2-3-1
M. Gostomski G
D. Zbozień D
Jonathan de Amo D
S. Cissé D
D. Dziwniel M
M. Kozak M
E. Kryeziu M
M. Pawlik M
S. Krykun M
D. Tkacz M
K. Podliński F
Bench (9)
Ł. Szramowski
D. Gąska
H. Sobol
V. Lykhovydko
J. Kwiatkowski
M. Biernat
P. Pierzak
S. Lewkot
T. Woźniak

Coach: I. Mamrot

Rakow

3-4-3
K. Trelowski G
Z. Arsenić D
T. Petrášek D
S. Svarnas D
F. Tudor M
G. Papanikolaou M
G. Berggren M
Jean Carlos M
B. Nowak F
V. Gutkovskis F
Ivi López F
Bench (9)
V. Kochergin
B. Lederman
S. Musiolik
M. Cebula
P. Kun
B. Racovițan
M. Rundić
M. Wdowiak
V. Kovačević

Coach: M. Papszun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

K Jakubik · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.