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Ekstraklasa
Referee: J Przybył
Rakow
S S S S S
4–1
Full-time
Cracovia
U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 57%
75%
38%
Points per game
2,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 36%
38%
33%
Average goals
2,6
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,1
Conceded
0,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%
21 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
11 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Rakow 1. · Cracovia 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 24 18 4 2 +32 58
2 Legia 25 15 7 3 +13 52
3 Lech Poznan 24 11 7 6 +10 40
4 Pogon Szczecin 25 11 7 7 +2 40
5 Widzew Lodz 24 10 7 7 +4 37
6 Cracovia 24 9 7 8 +7 34
7 Warta Poznan 24 9 7 8 +5 34
8 Wisla Plock 25 9 5 11 +0 32
9 Radomiak Radom 25 9 5 11 -3 32
10 Stal Mielec 25 8 6 11 -4 30
11 Slask Wroclaw 25 7 9 9 -9 30
12 Zaglebie 25 8 6 11 -12 30
13 Jagiellonia 25 6 11 8 +1 29
14 Gornik Zabrze 25 7 7 11 -6 28
15 Piast Gliwice 24 7 6 11 -1 27
16 Korona Kielce 25 7 6 12 -10 27
17 Lechia Gdansk 24 7 4 13 -15 25
18 Legnica 24 4 7 13 -14 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rakow Cracovia
4′
🟨 Benjamin Källman
7′
🟨 Jani Atanasov
15′
🟨 Takuto Oshima
16′
M. Rakoczy 0–1
Bartosz Nowak ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
29′
1–1 V. Gutkovskis
F. Tudor
38′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 B. Nowak
59′
3–1 Ivi López
65′
66′
🔁 Y. Konoplyanka
↦ M. Rakoczy
66′
🔁 K. Knap
↦ T. Oshima
69′
🟨 Patryk Makuch
72′
🔁 P. Jaroszyński
↦ C. Râpă
G. Berggren 🔁
↦ B. Nowak
75′
77′
🔁 M. Bochnak
↦ B. Källman
M. Cebula 🔁
↦ Ivi López
81′
M. Wdowiak 🔁
↦ V. Kochergin
81′
S. Musiolik 🔁
↦ V. Gutkovskis
81′
83′
🟨 Paweł Jaroszyński
4–1 M. Cebula
84′
P. Kun 🔁
↦ Jean Carlos
87′
88′
🟨 Jakub Jugas
90′
🟥 Jani Atanasov
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-3
1 V. Kovačević G
4 S. Svarnas D
24 Z. Arsenić D
3 M. Rundić D
7 F. Tudor M
66 G. Papanikolaou M
30 V. Kochergin M
20 Jean Carlos M
11 Ivi López F
21 V. Gutkovskis F
27 B. Nowak F
Bench (9)
5 G. Berggren
77 M. Cebula
17 M. Wdowiak
9 S. Musiolik
23 P. Kun
2 T. Petrášek
12 K. Trelowski
8 B. Lederman
25 B. Racovițan

Coach: M. Papszun

Cracovia

3-4-2-1
23 K. Niemczycki G
24 J. Jugas D
22 A. Hoskonen D
5 V. Ghiță D
2 C. Râpă M
6 J. Atanasov M
18 T. Oshima M
25 O. Kakabadze M
9 B. Källman F
11 M. Rakoczy F
71 P. Makuch F
Bench (7)
10 Y. Konoplyanka
20 K. Knap
4 P. Jaroszyński
17 M. Bochnak
36 K. Jodłowski
31 L. Hroššo
3 M. Sipľak

Coach: J. Zieliński

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Przybył · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.