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Puchar Polski
Referee: M Jenda
1–3
Full-time
Arka Gdynia
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Polonia Bytom Arka Gdynia
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,0
2,2
Scored
4,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,5
This season — Puchar Polski · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
5,0
2,0
Scored
4,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

6 Corners 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Polonia Bytom 16. · Arka Gdynia 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Warta Poznan 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Piast Gliwice 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Wisla 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Wisła Puławy 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Carina Gubin 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Stal Rzeszów 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Stal Mielec 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Korona Kielce 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Cracovia 2 2 0 0 +2 6
11 Garbarnia Kraków 3 2 0 1 +0 6
12 Polonia Warszawa 3 2 0 1 -1 6
13 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
14 Lech Poznan 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Polonia Bytom 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Legia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 +1 3
22 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Resovia Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 Pogon Szczecin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Stal Brzeg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Motor Lublin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Puszcza 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Legia Warszawa II 2 1 0 1 -1 3
34 LKS Lodz 2 1 0 1 -1 3
35 Pogoń Siedlce 2 1 0 1 -1 3
36 Tychy 71 2 1 0 1 -1 3
37 Radunia Stężyca 2 1 0 1 -2 3
38 Jastrzębie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Nieciecza 2 0 1 1 -1 1
40 Kalisz 2 0 1 1 -1 1
41 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Sokół Kleczew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Jagiellonia II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 KSZO 1929 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Gryf Wejherowo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Slask Wroclaw 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Pogoń Szczecin II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 GKS Katowice 1 0 0 1 -4 0
67 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Start Krasnystaw 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
70 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Polonia Bytom Arka Gdynia
42′
P. Stolc 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Michał Bedronka 🟨
47′
1–1 P. Stefański
48′
50′
🟥 Sebastian Milewski
S. Jopek 🔁
↦ D. Krzemień
54′
Tomasz Gajda 🟨
57′
D. Ściślak 🔁
↦ F. Żagiel
65′
L. Zieliński 🔁
↦ K. Andrzejczak
65′
68′
🔁 D. Gojny
↦ J. Wilczyński
68′
🔁 K. Czubak
↦ K. Skóra
73′
🟨 Marcel Predenkiewicz
76′
🔁 H. Adamczyk
↦ M. Predenkiewicz
76′
🔁 O. Kobacki
↦ M. Bednarski
K. Ropski 🔁
↦ L. Zieliński
83′
I. Ławrynowicz 🔁
↦ D. Wolny
83′
91′
🔁 K. Krzepisz
↦ M. Chudý
91′
K. Lipkowski 1–2
92′
🟨 Michał Marcjanik
105′
O. Kobacki 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Polonia Bytom

3-4-2-1
E. Mirus G
D. Konieczny
A. Piekarski D
M. Bedronka D
P. Stefański M
D. Krzemień M
T. Gajda M
M. Szmigiel F
F. Żagiel M
K. Andrzejczak F
D. Wolny M
Bench (9)
S. Jopek
D. Ściślak
L. Zieliński
K. Ropski
I. Ławrynowicz
D. Budzik
G. Ochwat
K. Hajduk
N. Radkiewicz

Coach: Ł. Tomczyk

Arka Gdynia

4-3-3
M. Chudý G
P. Stolc D
M. Marcjanik D
M. Dobrotka D
K. Lipkowski D
M. Borecki M
S. Milewski M
M. Bednarski M
M. Predenkiewicz
J. Wilczyński F
K. Skóra M
Bench (9)
D. Gojny
K. Czubak
H. Adamczyk
O. Kobacki
K. Krzepisz
J. Gol
W. Sawicki
W. Zieliński
V. Vereshchak

Coach: W. Łobodziński

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.