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Serie B
Referee: M Monaldi
Lecco
T T S S U
0–0
Full-time
Spezia
U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecco Spezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 15%
20%
9%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
60%
55%
Both score Ø 48%
60%
36%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
20 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lecco 17. · Spezia 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 12 9 2 1 +16 29
2 Venezia 12 7 3 2 +7 24
3 Modena 12 6 4 2 +3 22
4 Catanzaro 12 6 3 3 +3 21
5 Palermo 11 6 2 3 +8 20
6 Cremonese 12 5 4 3 +5 19
7 Como 11 5 3 3 +1 18
8 Bari 12 3 8 1 +2 17
9 Sudtirol 11 4 4 3 +3 16
10 Cosenza 12 4 4 4 +3 16
11 Cittadella 12 4 4 4 -3 16
12 Reggiana 12 3 6 3 -1 15
13 Brescia 10 3 4 3 +1 13
14 Pisa 12 3 4 5 -2 13
15 Ascoli 12 3 3 6 -3 12
16 Sampdoria 12 3 3 6 -4 12
17 Lecco 10 2 2 6 -8 8
18 Spezia 11 1 5 5 -8 8
19 Ternana 12 1 3 8 -6 6
20 FeralpiSalo 12 1 3 8 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lecco Spezia
Alessandro Sersanti 🟨
6′
17′
🟨 Nicolò Bertola
Davide Guglielmotti 🟨
37′
37′
🟨 Rachid Kouda
Half-time 0–0
G. Galli 🔁
↦ D. Guglielmotti
46′
66′
🔁 F. Esposito
↦ M. Antonucci
66′
🔁 P. Candelari
↦ S. Elia
M. Battistini 🔁
↦ A. Bianconi
68′
70′
🟨 Arkadiusz Reca
73′
🔁 F. Cassata
↦ R. Kouda
73′
🔁 D. Verde
↦ L. Moro
75′
🟨 Francesco Cassata
Giovanni Crociata 🟨
81′
M. Tordini 🔁
↦ N. Buso
83′
84′
🟨 Francesco Pio Esposito
86′
🟨 Albin Ekdal
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Lecco

4-3-3
1 R. Melgrati G
32 F. Lepore D
2 V. Celjak D
6 A. Bianconi D
17 A. Caporale D
21 G. Crociata M
27 A. Ioniţă M
8 A. Sersanti M
44 D. Guglielmotti F
90 A. Novaković F
99 N. Buso F
Bench (12)
96 G. Galli
13 M. Battistini
11 M. Tordini
5 D. Degli Innocenti
22 U. Saracco
9 U. Eusepi
80 V. Agostinelli
34 L. Marrone
18 L. Pinzauti
68 B. Boci
83 M. Lemmens
16 J. Tenkorang

Coach: E. Bonazzoli

Spezia

3-4-1-2
69 B. Drągowski G
27 K. Amian D
23 L. Mühl D
77 N. Bertola D
7 S. Elia M
80 R. Kouda M
8 A. Ekdal M
13 A. Reca M
10 S. Esposito F
24 L. Moro F
48 M. Antonucci F
Bench (12)
9 F. Esposito
36 P. Candelari
29 F. Cassata
99 D. Verde
5 L. Serpe
15 N. Pietra
1 J. Zoet
21 G. Corradini
26 C. Cugnata
19 R. Krollis
40 P. Zovko
4 João Moutinho

Coach: M. Alvini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,57
U ✓
3,43
B
2,02
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,94
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Monaldi · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.