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Champions League
Referee: António Nobre
Bayern Munich
S S S T S
2–1
Full-time
Galatasaray
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,3
3,0
Scored
3,7
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/9 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 89%
100%
78%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,7
3,3
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,57 xG 0,65
62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Oct -23 Galatasaray – Bayern Munich 1–3

Match report

Bayern Munich Galatasaray
Alphonso Davies 🟨
19′
34′
🟨 Abdülkerim Bardakcı
T. Müller 🔁
↦ J. Musiala
40′
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 B. Yılmaz
↦ H. Ziyech
69′
🔁 Sérgio Oliveira
↦ K. Ayhan
69′
🔁 Tetê
↦ M. Icardi
M. Tel 🔁
↦ L. Sané
72′
K. Laimer 🔁
↦ D. Upamecano
72′
78′
🔁 C. Bakambu
↦ W. Zaha
78′
🔁 V. Nelsson
↦ Angeliño
1–0 H. Kane ⚽
J. Kimmich
80′
Harry Kane ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
81′
2–0 H. Kane ⚽
M. Tel
86′
S. Gnabry 🔁
↦ K. Coman
87′
93′
⚽ C. Bakambu 2–1
Sérgio Oliveira
96′
🟨 Cédric Bakambu
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
40 N. Mazraoui D
2 D. Upamecano D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
19 A. Davies D
8 L. Goretzka M
6 J. Kimmich M
11 K. Coman M
42 J. Musiala M
10 L. Sané M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (10)
25 T. Müller
39 M. Tel
27 K. Laimer
7 S. Gnabry
18 Daniel Peretz
41 F. Krätzig
26 S. Ulreich
20 B. Sarr
13 E. Choupo-Moting
45 A. Pavlović

Coach: T. Tuchel

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
93 S. Boey D
6 D. Sánchez D
42 A. Bardakcı D
3 Angeliño D
23 K. Ayhan M
34 L. Torreira M
22 H. Ziyech M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
14 W. Zaha M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (12)
53 B. Yılmaz
27 Sérgio Oliveira
20 Tetê
94 C. Bakambu
25 V. Nelsson
12 A. Ordu
8 K. Demirbay
10 D. Mertens
19 G. Güvenç
88 K. Karataş
50 J. Yılmaz
91 T. Ndombélé

Coach: O. Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.