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Champions League
Referee: D Siebert
PSV Eindhoven
S S U S S
1–0
Full-time
Lens
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,5
1,8
Scored
3,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/3 matches
Win Ø 38%
43%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
86%
33%
Both score Ø 93%
86%
100%
Average goals
4,1
2,3
Scored
2,4
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,83 xG 1,15
46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 8
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Oct -23 Lens – PSV Eindhoven 1–1

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Lens
1–0 L. de Jong ⚽
J. Bakayoko
12′
Hirving Lozano 🟨
38′
42′
🟨 Deiver Machado
43′
🟨 Kevin Danso
Half-time 1–0
André Ramalho 🟨
46′
46′
🟨 Florian Sotoca
46′
🟨 Elye Wahi
52′
🟨 Jonathan Gradit
53′
🟨 Facundo Medina
65′
🔁 A. Fulgini
↦ A. Thomasson
I. Saibari 🔁
↦ J. Veerman
66′
M. Tillman 🔁
↦ G. Til
66′
66′
🔁 N. El Aynaoui
↦ N. Mendy
78′
🔁 M. Haïdara
↦ D. Machado
78′
🔁 M. Guilavogui
↦ P. Frankowski
82′
🟨 Morgan Guilavogui
82′
🔁 W. Saïd
↦ E. Wahi
92′
🟨 Morgan Guilavogui
92′
🟥 Morgan Guilavogui
R. Pepi 🔁
↦ L. de Jong
93′
Y. Vertessen 🔁
↦ H. Lozano
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
1 W. Benítez G
3 J. Teze D
5 André Ramalho D
18 O. Boscagli D
8 S. Dest D
22 J. Schouten M
23 J. Veerman M
11 J. Bakayoko M
20 G. Til M
27 H. Lozano M
9 L. de Jong F
Bench (9)
34 I. Saibari
10 M. Tillman
14 R. Pepi
32 Y. Vertessen
16 J. Drommel
2 S. Sambo
26 I. Babadi
24 B. Waterman
30 P. van Aanholt

Coach: P. Bosz

Lens

3-4-2-1
30 B. Samba G
24 J. Gradit D
4 K. Danso D
14 F. Medina D
29 P. Frankowski M
6 S. Abdul Samed M
26 N. Mendy M
3 D. Machado M
7 F. Sotoca F
28 A. Thomasson F
9 E. Wahi F
Bench (11)
11 A. Fulgini
23 N. El Aynaoui
21 M. Haïdara
27 M. Guilavogui
22 W. Saïd
20 F. Maouassa
25 A. Khusanov
43 T. Pouilly
40 Y. Pandor
16 J. Leca
18 A. Diouf

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.