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Champions League
Referee: D Makkelie
Napoli
T S S U S
1–1
Full-time
Union Berlin
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Union Berlin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,8
0,3
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,75 xG 1,10
73% Possession 27%
27 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 6
13 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
18 Corners 5
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Oct -23 Union Berlin – Napoli 0–1

Match report

Napoli Union Berlin
Frank Anguissa ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
32′
1–0 M. Politano ⚽
39′
41′
🟨 Leonardo Bonucci
Half-time 1–1
52′
⚽ D. Fofana 1–1
64′
🔁 C. Trimmel
↦ J. Juranović
66′
🟨 Paul Jaeckel
70′
🔁 L. Tousart
↦ R. Khedira
70′
🔁 A. Král
↦ A. Laïdouni
75′
🟨 Lucas Tousart
M. Olivera 🔁
↦ Mário Rui
77′
G. Simeone 🔁
↦ S. Lobotka
77′
79′
🔁 B. Aaronson
↦ J. Haberer
80′
🔁 R. Gosens
↦ J. Roussillon
J. Lindstrøm 🔁
↦ M. Politano
87′
Giovanni Simeone 🟨
89′
J. Cajuste 🔁
↦ P. Zieliński
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Napoli

4-3-3
1 A. Meret G
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
13 Amir Rrahmani D
3 Natan D
6 Mário Rui D
99 F. Anguissa M
68 S. Lobotka M
20 P. Zieliński M
21 M. Politano F
81 G. Raspadori F
77 K. Kvaratskhelia F
Bench (12)
17 M. Olivera
18 G. Simeone
29 J. Lindstrøm
24 J. Cajuste
5 Juan Jesus
14 N. Contini-Baranovskyi
95 P. Gollini
70 G. Gaetano
59 A. Zanoli
23 A. Zerbin
7 E. Elmas
55 L. Østigård

Coach: R. Garcia

Union Berlin

3-5-2
1 F. Rønnow G
3 P. Jaeckel D
23 L. Bonucci D
4 Diogo Leite D
18 J. Juranović M
19 J. Haberer M
8 R. Khedira M
20 A. Laïdouni M
26 J. Roussillon M
27 S. Becker F
11 D. Fofana F
Bench (11)
28 C. Trimmel
29 L. Tousart
33 A. Král
7 B. Aaronson
6 R. Gosens
38 L. Dehl
39 Y. Stein
17 K. Behrens
10 K. Volland
37 A. Schwolow
31 R. Knoche

Coach: U. Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.