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Conference League
Referee: Chrysovalantis Theouli
Lincoln Red Imps FC
U U T T T
2–1
Full-time
Lech Poznan
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lincoln Red Imps FC Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
0,5
2,2
Conceded
3,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
4,0
Conceded
5,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-5,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,03 xG 2,89
38% Possession 62%
12 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lincoln Red Imps FC Lech Poznan
25′
🟨 Yannick Agnero
1–0 K. Gomez ⚽
B. Lopes
33′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Pereira
↦ R. Gumny
46′
🔁 L. Palma
↦ L. Bengtsson
46′
🔁 T. Ismaheel
↦ Y. Agnero
Boubacar Sidik Dabo 🟨
53′
57′
🔁 M. Ishak
↦ B. Fiabema
N. Pozo 🔁
↦ K. Gomez
61′
72′
🔁 A. Kozubal
↦ G. Thordarson
Jaylan Hankins 🟨
76′
77′
⚽ M. Ishak 1–1
Juanje 🔁
↦ B. Dabo
82′
J. Toscano 🔁
↦ V. Villacanas
87′
2–1 C. Rutjens ⚽
T. Kolega
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lincoln Red Imps FC

4-4-2
13 J. Hankins
24 T. Kolega D
6 B. Lopes D
3 C. Rutjens D
21 Nano D
70 V. Villacanas M
18 T. Garcia M
8 Mandi M
80 B. Dabo M
10 T. De Barr F
9 K. Gomez F
Bench (11)
1 Nauzet Santana
2 J. Toscano
4 N. Pozo
5 I. Ayew
7 L. Casciaro
11 Juanje
15 R. Munoz
19 K. Clinton
23 Joe
29 L. Chipolina
71 J. Peacock

Coach: Juan José Bezares Alarcón

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
41 B. Mrozek G
20 R. Gumny D
27 W. Monka D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
4 J. Moutinho D
23 G. Thordarson M
6 T. Ouma M
19 B. Fiabema M
99 P. Rodriguez M
14 L. Bengtsson M
7 Y. Agnero F
Bench (12)
31 K. Bakowski
33 M. Pruchniewski
2 J. Pereira
3 A. Douglas
9 M. Ishak
15 M. Gurgul
16 A. Milic
43 A. Kozubal
54 K. Jakobczyk
56 K. Lisman
77 L. Palma
88 T. Ismaheel

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.