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Conference League
Referee: Robert Hennessy
Lech Poznan
S T S U U
4–1
Full-time
SK Rapid
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

2,85 xG 0,66
52% Possession 48%
18 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lech Poznan SK Rapid
1–0 L. Palma ⚽
13′
2–0 M. Ishak ⚽
L. Palma
21′
Luis Palma ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
32′
3–0 T. Ismaheel ⚽
L. Palma
45′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 M. Tilio
↦ N. Wurmbrand
64′
⚽ A. Radulovic 3–1
J. Horn
65′
🔁 E. Kara
↦ C. M'Buyi
65′
🔁 M. Ndzie
↦ L. Grgic
Y. Agnero 🔁
↦ M. Ishak
68′
A. Kozubal 🔁
↦ F. Jagiello
68′
M. Skrzypczak 🔁
↦ A. Milic
68′
L. Bengtsson 🔁
↦ K. Lisman
76′
4–1 L. Bengtsson ⚽
T. Ismaheel
77′
79′
🔁 L. Schaub
↦ R. Amane
79′
🔁 F. Demir
↦ J. Horn
B. Fiabema 🔁
↦ T. Ismaheel
81′
Joel Pereira 🟨
84′
87′
🟨 Martin Ndzie
Timothy Ouma 🟨
88′
Bryan Fiabema 🟨
95′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
41 B. Mrozek G
2 J. Pereira D
3 A. Douglas D
16 A. Milic D
15 M. Gurgul D
6 T. Ouma
24 F. Jagiello M
88 T. Ismaheel M
77 L. Palma M
56 K. Lisman M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (12)
31 K. Bakowski
33 M. Pruchniewski
4 J. Moutinho
7 Y. Agnero
14 L. Bengtsson
19 B. Fiabema
20 R. Gumny
23 G. Thordarson
27 W. Monka
43 A. Kozubal
72 M. Skrzypczak
99 P. Rodriguez

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
1 N. Hedl G
77 B. Bolla D
55 N. Cvetkovic D
20 A. Ahoussou D
38 J. Horn D
29 R. Amane M
8 L. Grgic M
49 A. Radulovic M
17 T. Gulliksen M
15 N. Wurmbrand M
71 C. M'Buyi F
Bench (12)
25 P. Gartler
51 B. Goschl
4 J. M. Scholler
6 S. Raux Yao
7 M. Tilio
9 E. Kara
14 M. Ndzie
18 M. Seidl
21 L. Schaub
23 J. Auer
41 D. Weixelbraun
61 F. Demir

Coach: Peter Stöger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.