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Puchar Polski
Lechia Gdansk
S T S U S
1–3
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Puchar Polski · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 8. · Gornik Zabrze 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Polonia Bytom 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Chojniczanka Chojnice 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Avia Świdnik 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Gornik Zabrze 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Korona Kielce 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 GKS Katowice 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 Lechia Gdansk 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Hutnik Kraków 3 2 0 1 +3 6
10 Piast Gliwice 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Slask Wroclaw 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Wisla 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 Jastrzębie 2 1 1 0 +2 4
14 Widzew Lodz 2 1 1 0 +1 4
15 Olimpia Grudziądz 3 1 1 1 +1 4
16 Świt Skolwin 3 1 1 1 +0 4
17 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 LKS Lodz 2 1 0 1 +1 3
19 Cracovia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
20 Legnica 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Pogon Szczecin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 Lech Poznan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Arka Gdynia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Odra Opole 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Gryf Słupsk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Puszcza 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 -2 3
33 Wikielec 2 1 0 1 -2 3
34 Goczałkowice Zdrój B 2 1 0 1 -5 3
35 Nieciecza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Flota Świnoujście 2 0 1 1 -3 1
39 Legia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Stal Mielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Resovia Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Małapanew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Motor Lublin 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Polonia Warszawa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Odra Bytom Odrzański 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Łomża 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Beskid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lechia Gdansk Gornik Zabrze
15′
🟨 M. Khlan
I. Zhelizko 🟨
29′
31′
⚽ R. Janicki 0–1
M. Kmet
33′
⚽ O. Sow 0–2
Goh Young-Jun
1–2 D. Kurminowski ⚽
39′
Half-time 1–2
M. Awad 🔁
↦ K. Sezonienko
56′
59′
🔁 Gabriel Barbosa
↦ M. Kmet
A. Tsarenko 🔁
↦ B. Viunnyk
63′
T. Bobcek 🔁
↦ D. Kurminowski
63′
75′
🟨 E. Janza
75′
🟨 Goh Young-Jun
81′
🟨 O. Sow
84′
⚽ O. Sow 1–3
R. Janicki
M. Vojtko 🔁
↦ M. Kalahur
85′
T. Wojtowicz 🔁
↦ B. Kludka
85′
88′
🔁 L. Podolski
↦ S. Liseth
88′
🔁 K. Lukoszek
↦ Goh Young-Jun
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Lechia Gdansk

18 A. Paulsen
2 B. Kludka
4 B. Pllana
23 M. Kalahur
3 E. Olsson
10 R. Kapic
5 I. Zhelizko
8 A. Cirkovic
90 D. Kurminowski
79 K. Sezonienko
7 B. Viunnyk
Bench (9)
1 S. Weirauch
15 M. Dyachuk
17 A. Tsarenko
21 M. Glogowski
27 M. Vojtko
33 T. Wojtowicz
72 M. Awad
89 T. Bobcek
99 T. Neugebauer

Coach: John William Carver

Gornik Zabrze

99 T. Loska
81 M. Kmet
26 R. Janicki
55 M. Pingot
64 E. Janza
28 B. Donio
8 P. Hellebrand
30 O. Sow
79 Goh Young-Jun
33 M. Khlan
23 S. Liseth
Bench (9)
1 M. Lubik
5 K. Szczesniak
7 L. Zahovic
9 Gabriel Barbosa
10 L. Podolski
16 P. Olkowski
17 K. Lukoszek
19 N. Dziegielewski
22 A. Abdullahi

Coach: Michal Gašparík

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.