Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒
Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Avia Świdnik
Flota Świnoujście
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,7
2,0
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Puchar Polski · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
🔒
Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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The table before the match Avia Świdnik 14. · Flota Świnoujście 33. ▾
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Polonia Bytom
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +14 | 9 |
| 2 |
Chojniczanka Chojnice
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 3 |
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 |
Korona Kielce
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 5 |
Hutnik Kraków
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 6 |
GKS Katowice
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 7 |
Piast Gliwice
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 |
Jastrzębie
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 10 |
Olimpia Grudziądz
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 11 |
Świt Skolwin
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 4 |
| 12 |
Cracovia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 13 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 14 |
Avia Świdnik
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 15 |
Zaglebie
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 16 |
Legnica
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 17 |
LKS Lodz
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Puszcza
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 19 |
Arka Gdynia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 20 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 21 |
Gryf Słupsk
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 22 |
Wisla
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 23 |
Stal Stalowa Wola
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 24 |
Podbeskidzie
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 25 |
Odra Opole
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 26 |
Warta Poznan
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 27 |
Znicz Pruszków
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |
Wikielec
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 29 |
Goczałkowice Zdrój B
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 3 |
| 30 |
Nieciecza
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 31 |
Widzew Lodz
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 32 |
ŁKS Łódź II
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 33 |
Flota Świnoujście
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 34 |
Wieczysta Krakow
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 35 |
Stal Mielec
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Resovia Rzeszów
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 37 |
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 38 |
Małapanew
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 39 |
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 40 |
Motor Lublin
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 41 |
Olimpia Elbląg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 42 |
Stal Rzeszów
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 43 |
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 44 |
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 45 |
Polonia Warszawa
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 46 |
Korona Kielce II
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 47 |
Odra Bytom Odrzański
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 48 |
Chrobry Głogów
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 49 |
Wisla Plock
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 50 |
SKRA Częstochowa
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 51 |
Polonia Środa
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 52 |
Miedź Legnica II
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 53 |
Ruch Chorzow
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 54 |
Radomiak Radom
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 55 |
Pogoń Siedlce
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 56 |
Kalisz
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 57 |
Tychy 71
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 58 |
Łomża
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 59 |
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 60 |
Legia Warszawa II
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 61 |
Beskid
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 62 |
Górnik Łęczna
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 63 |
Zagłębie Lubin II
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Match report
Avia Świdnik
Flota Świnoujście
1–0 D. Pisarek
⚽
W. Kalinowski
2–0 M. Zuber
⚽
M. Pigiel
3–0 M. Pigiel
⚽
Half-time 3–0
🔁
H. Hamid
↦ D. Gil
🔁
K. Zmudz
↦ D. Chrominski
K. Rozmus
🔁
↦ M. Pigiel
R. Dobrzynski
🔁
↦ W. Kalinowski
P. Uliczny
🔁
↦ D. Zawadzki
🔁
A. Trzaskowski
↦ M. Graczyk
🔁
S. Nakano
↦ K. Kasperowicz
🟨
B. Zaranek
A. Maj
🔁
↦ D. Pisarek
🔁
B. Walczak
↦ H. Turski
W. Marek
🔁
↦ M. Zuber
🟨
B. Walczak
Full-time 3–0
Line-ups
Avia Świdnik
12
A. Sobieszczyk
3
R. Kursa
6
K. Orzechowski
25
D. Zbozien
33
M. Pigiel
7
W. Kalinowski
10
D. Zawadzki
17
S. Kaminski
8
M. Zuber
9
A. Remenyuk
27
D. Pisarek
Bench (9)
1
I. Bartnik
2
M. Jarzynka
4
K. Rozmus
5
R. Dobrzynski
15
D. Assuncao
19
P. Malecki
24
P. Uliczny
18
W. Marek
99
A. Maj
Coach: Wojciech Szacon
Flota Świnoujście
89
D. Krzysztofek
3
K. Kasperowicz
23
H. Sadowski
24
D. Gil
5
M. Jandziak
6
M. Graczyk
10
D. Chrominski
11
H. Turski
19
S. Cybulski
16
P. Paczuk
18
B. Zaranek
Bench (9)
12
O. Voloshyn
4
A. Trzaskowski
2
M. Zawarski
7
P. Harkot
8
R. Dziuba
13
H. Hamid
14
S. Nakano
22
B. Walczak
15
K. Zmudz
Coach: Karol Szweda
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.