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Ekstraklasa
Referee: M Szczerbowicz
Zaglebie
U S S T S
0–0
Full-time
Rakow
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,2
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 43%
40%
45%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
65%
55%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,21 xG 1,52
35% Possession 65%
8 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 4
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaglebie 5. · Rakow 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 20 10 6 4 +13 -3.3 36
2 Wisla Plock 20 8 9 3 +9 +2.9 33
3 Gornik Zabrze 20 10 3 7 +5 -2.5 33
4 Cracovia 21 8 8 5 +5 +4.0 32
5 Zaglebie 20 8 7 5 +6 +0.5 31
6 Korona Kielce 21 8 6 7 +4 -2.6 30
7 Rakow 20 9 3 8 +2 +3.9 30
8 Lechia Gdansk 20 8 5 7 +2 -1.6 29
9 Lech Poznan 20 7 8 5 +1 +11.7 29
10 Radomiak Radom 20 7 6 7 +3 +1.5 27
11 GKS Katowice 20 8 3 9 -2 -6.9 27
12 Piast Gliwice 20 7 5 8 +1 -6.8 26
13 Motor Lublin 20 5 9 6 -7 -2.7 24
14 Pogon Szczecin 20 6 4 10 -5 +8.8 22
15 Arka Gdynia 19 6 4 9 -17 -6.4 22
16 Legia 21 4 9 8 -3 +1.5 21
17 Widzew Lodz 20 6 2 12 -5 +2.9 20
18 Nieciecza 20 5 5 10 -12 -4.9 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaglebie Rakow
42′
🟨 Oskar Repka
Half-time 0–0
L. Szabo 🔁
↦ M. Kosidis
46′
A. Radwanski 🔁
↦ S. Kowalczyk
46′
M. Regula 🔁
↦ M. Dziewiatowski
46′
Filip Kocaba 🟨
47′
50′
🟨 Jean Carlos
Jakub Kolan 🟨
61′
66′
🔁 M. Bulat
↦ K. Struski
66′
🔁 L. Rocha
↦ T. Pienko
78′
🔁 M. Ilenic
↦ M. Ameyaw
83′
🔁 P. Makuch
↦ L. Diaby-Fadiga
Adam Radwański 🟨
90′
D. Dabrowski 🔁
↦ F. Kocaba
92′
93′
🟨 Leonardo Rocha
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Zaglebie

5-4-1
1 J. Buric G
13 M. Grzybek D
4 D. Michalski D
25 M. Nalepa D
3 R. Yakuba D
16 J. Corluka D
7 S. Kowalczyk M
26 J. Kolan M
39 F. Kocaba M
20 M. Dziewiatowski M
9 M. Kosidis F
Bench (12)
12 R. Gikiewicz
6 T. Makowski
8 D. Dabrowski
11 A. Wozniak
35 L. Lucic
17 L. Szabo
18 A. Radwanski
19 J. Sypek
31 I. Orlikowski
44 M. Regula
84 J. Ligocki
88 M. Mlinaric

Coach: Leszek Ojrzynski

Rakow

3-4-2-1
48 O. Zych G
7 F. Tudor D
25 B. Racovitan D
4 S. Svarnas D
19 M. Ameyaw M
6 O. Repka M
23 K. Struski M
20 J. C. Silva M
80 L. Diaby-Fadiga F
8 T. Pienko F
18 J. Brunes F
Bench (11)
1 K. Trelowski
2 A. Mosor
5 M. Bulat
9 P. Makuch
11 Adriano
17 L. Rocha
21 J. Napieraj
22 O. Abraham
29 W. Zolneczko
35 M. Ilenic
39 I. Brusberg

Coach: Lukasz Tomczyk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Szczerbowicz · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.