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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Kwiatkowski

Wisla Plock

U U U U U

2–1

Full-time

Rakow

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wisla Plock Rakow

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,3

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 45%

39%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,15 xG 2,27

34% Possession 66%

13 Shots 22

5 Shots on target 11

4 Blocked shots 6

10 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 8

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wisla Plock 3. · Rakow 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	19	10	3	6	+6	-2.6	33
2	Jagiellonia	18	9	5	4	+10	-2.7	32
3	Wisla Plock	18	7	9	2	+9	+2.4	30
4	Rakow	18	9	2	7	+3	+3.0	29
5	Zaglebie	19	7	7	5	+5	+0.5	28
6	Lechia Gdansk	19	8	4	7	+2	-1.6	28
7	Cracovia	18	7	6	5	+4	+2.9	27
8	Radomiak Radom	18	7	5	6	+5	+0.9	26
9	Lech Poznan	18	6	8	4	+1	+11.8	26
10	Korona Kielce	18	6	6	6	+2	+0.2	24
11	Motor Lublin	19	5	9	5	-4	-2.7	24
12	GKS Katowice	18	7	2	9	-3	-8.0	23
13	Pogon Szczecin	19	6	3	10	-5	+8.7	21
14	Arka Gdynia	18	6	3	9	-17	-6.4	21
15	Piast Gliwice	18	5	5	8	-1	-6.2	20
16	Widzew Lodz	19	6	2	11	-4	+3.1	20
17	Legia	18	4	7	7	-2	+1.0	19
18	Nieciecza	18	5	4	9	-11	-4.2	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	10	7	1	2	+11	+3.1	22
2	Wisla Plock	10	6	3	1	+9	+5.0	21
3	Radomiak Radom	9	6	2	1	+15	+5.4	20
4	Arka Gdynia	9	6	2	1	+4	-3.3	20
5	Zaglebie	10	5	4	1	+11	+4.2	19
6	Lechia Gdansk	9	5	2	2	+9	+2.4	17
7	Pogon Szczecin	9	5	1	3	+6	+8.3	16
8	Cracovia	9	4	4	1	+5	+5.7	16
9	Jagiellonia	7	5	0	2	+7	+0.6	15
10	Motor Lublin	10	3	6	1	+2	+3.9	15
11	Korona Kielce	9	4	2	3	+3	+2.4	14
12	Widzew Lodz	10	4	2	4	+1	+2.7	14
13	Legia	9	3	4	2	+4	+0.6	13
14	GKS Katowice	9	4	1	4	+0	-3.5	13
15	Lech Poznan	10	3	4	3	-1	+8.1	13
16	Rakow	9	3	2	4	-1	+0.8	11
17	Piast Gliwice	8	2	3	3	+0	-1.1	9
18	Nieciecza	9	2	2	5	-7	-2.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	9	6	0	3	+4	+2.1	18
2	Jagiellonia	11	4	5	2	+3	-3.3	17
3	Lech Poznan	8	3	4	1	+2	+3.7	13
4	Piast Gliwice	10	3	2	5	-1	-5.1	11
5	Cracovia	9	3	2	4	-1	-2.8	11
6	Nieciecza	9	3	2	4	-4	-1.9	11
7	Gornik Zabrze	9	3	2	4	-5	-5.8	11
8	Lechia Gdansk	10	3	2	5	-7	-3.9	11
9	Korona Kielce	9	2	4	3	-1	-2.2	10
10	GKS Katowice	9	3	1	5	-3	-4.5	10
11	Wisla Plock	8	1	6	1	+0	-2.7	9
12	Motor Lublin	9	2	3	4	-6	-6.6	9
13	Zaglebie	9	2	3	4	-6	-3.8	9
14	Widzew Lodz	9	2	0	7	-5	+0.5	6
15	Legia	9	1	3	5	-6	+0.4	6
16	Radomiak Radom	9	1	3	5	-10	-4.5	6
17	Pogon Szczecin	10	1	2	7	-11	+0.4	5
18	Arka Gdynia	9	0	1	8	-21	-3.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.