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Premiership

Referee: J Beaton

Celtic

T T S U S

3–1

Full-time

Motherwell

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Motherwell

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

1,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 55%

62%

48%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

66%

34%

Both score Ø 47%

52%

41%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,1

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,14 xG 0,52

47% Possession 53%

13 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Celtic 2. · Motherwell 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	29	19	6	4	+28	+12.5	63
2	Celtic	29	18	4	7	+22	+16.8	58
3	Rangers	29	15	12	2	+26	+11.8	57
4	Motherwell	29	14	11	4	+28	+13.8	53
5	Hibernian	29	12	10	7	+13	+2.3	46
6	Falkirk	29	12	6	11	+0	+5.3	42
7	Dundee United	29	7	12	10	-10	-11.5	33
8	Dundee	29	8	7	14	-17	-5.7	31
9	Aberdeen	29	8	5	16	-12	-15.2	29
10	St Mirren	29	5	9	15	-22	-1.1	24
11	Kilmarnock	29	4	9	16	-28	-14.8	21
12	Livingston	29	1	11	17	-28	-14.2	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	15	11	4	0	+19	+7.5	37
2	Motherwell	15	10	4	1	+21	+12.7	34
3	Rangers	15	9	5	1	+15	+10.9	32
4	Celtic	14	10	1	3	+19	+13.0	31
5	Hibernian	14	7	5	2	+13	+5.9	26
6	Falkirk	15	6	5	4	+7	+7.0	23
7	Dundee	14	6	3	5	-1	-2.8	21
8	Dundee United	15	4	6	5	-4	-4.7	18
9	St Mirren	14	4	5	5	-7	+3.0	17
10	Aberdeen	14	4	4	6	+2	-7.7	16
11	Kilmarnock	14	3	3	8	-8	-2.3	12
12	Livingston	15	1	6	8	-9	-6.6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	15	8	3	4	+3	+3.8	27
2	Hearts	14	8	2	4	+9	+4.9	26
3	Rangers	14	6	7	1	+11	+0.9	25
4	Hibernian	15	5	5	5	+0	-3.5	20
5	Motherwell	14	4	7	3	+7	+1.1	19
6	Falkirk	14	6	1	7	-7	-1.8	19
7	Dundee United	14	3	6	5	-6	-6.8	15
8	Aberdeen	15	4	1	10	-14	-7.5	13
9	Dundee	15	2	4	9	-16	-2.9	10
10	Kilmarnock	15	1	6	8	-20	-12.5	9
11	St Mirren	15	1	4	10	-15	-4.1	7
12	Livingston	14	0	5	9	-19	-7.7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.