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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Bacher
Hertha
U T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Bochum
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 38%
44%
32%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 52%
44%
60%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,31 xG 0,55
48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 6. · Bochum 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 25 15 5 5 +14 +11.4 50
2 Darmstadt 26 13 10 3 +19 +7.7 49
3 Elversberg 26 14 6 6 +16 +2.9 48
4 Paderborn 26 14 6 6 +13 +11.7 48
5 Hannover 25 13 6 6 +11 +12.0 45
6 Hertha 25 11 7 7 +6 -4.8 40
7 Kaiserslautern 25 11 4 10 +4 -2.1 37
8 Karlsruhe 25 9 7 9 -7 -15.4 34
9 Nurnberg 26 9 6 11 -3 -2.3 33
10 Bochum 25 8 8 9 +3 +6.3 32
11 Fortuna Dusseldorf 26 9 4 13 -11 -1.9 31
12 Braunschweig 26 8 5 13 -14 -0.4 29
13 Greuther Furth 26 8 5 13 -17 -9.9 29
14 Bielefeld 26 7 7 12 +2 +1.9 28
15 Dresden 25 6 8 11 -6 -1.6 26
16 Preußen Münster 25 6 8 11 -8 -10.0 26
17 Holstein Kiel 26 6 7 13 -9 -12.0 25
18 Magdeburg 26 7 3 16 -13 +6.3 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Bochum
16′
🟨 Philipp Strompf
37′
🟨 Oliver Olsen
1–0 D. Kownacki
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. Vogt
↦ N. Loosli
46′
🔁 L. Morgalla
↦ O. Olsen
Michaël Cuisance 🟨
59′
Kevin Sessa 🟨
62′
B. Mamuzah Lum 🔁
↦ K. Sessa
63′
63′
🔁 C. Marshall
↦ C. Lenz
72′
🔁 K. Watjen
↦ F. Alfa-Ruprecht
72′
🔁 E. Masovic
↦ P. Strompf
L. Schuler 🔁
↦ D. Kownacki
77′
M. Krattenmacher 🔁
↦ J. Dudziak
77′
86′
🟨 Kevin Vogt
J. Brooks 🔁
↦ J. Brekalo
89′
J. Eitschberger 🔁
↦ M. Karbownik
89′
90′
L. Morgalla 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
1 T. Ernst G
33 M. Karbownik D
44 L. Gechter D
31 M. Dardai D
27 N. Kolbe D
8 K. Sessa M
30 P. Seguin M
28 J. Dudziak M
10 M. Cuisance M
7 J. Brekalo M
9 D. Kownacki F
Bench (9)
43 T. Goller
25 J. Brooks
18 L. Schuler
14 M. Krattenmacher
6 D. Demme
37 T. Leistner
17 S. Gronning
2 J. Eitschberger
21 B. Mamuzah Lum

Coach: Stefan Leitl

Bochum

4-2-3-1
1 T. Horn G
13 O. Olsen D
20 N. Loosli D
3 P. Strompf D
32 M. Wittek D
19 M. Bero M
34 C. Lenz M
23 K. Miyoshi M
21 F. Onyeka M
29 F. Alfa-Ruprecht M
33 P. Hofmann F
Bench (9)
22 N. Thiede
7 K. Vogt
39 L. Morgalla
8 K. Watjen
16 C. Marshall
4 E. Masovic
11 M. Kwarteng
18 M. Rakneberg
35 K. Koscierski

Coach: Uwe Rosler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,04
U ✓
3,60
B
3,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,26
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Bacher · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.