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Süper Lig

Referee: C Altay

Trabzonspor

S T S S S

1–0

Full-time

Rizespor

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Rizespor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 46%

64%

28%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

60%

52%

Both score Ø 60%

68%

52%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,48 xG 0,67

56% Possession 44%

10 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Trabzonspor 3. · Rizespor 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	25	19	4	2	+41	+26.6	61
2	Fenerbahce	26	16	9	1	+30	+26.0	57
3	Trabzonspor	25	16	6	3	+22	+6.2	54
4	Besiktas	25	13	7	5	+15	+22.6	46
5	Buyuksehyr	25	12	6	7	+17	+5.5	42
6	Goztep	25	11	9	5	+10	+4.4	42
7	Kocaelispor	26	9	6	11	-4	-1.9	33
8	Gaziantep	26	8	9	9	-7	-2.1	33
9	Samsunspor	25	7	11	7	-3	+6.2	32
10	Rizespor	25	7	9	9	-3	+0.7	30
11	Alanyaspor	25	5	12	8	-4	-7.7	27
12	Konyaspor	26	6	9	11	-9	-3.1	27
13	Genclerbirligi	25	6	7	12	-6	-12.1	25
14	Antalyaspor	26	6	6	14	-18	-20.7	24
15	Eyüpspor	25	5	7	13	-17	-15.3	22
16	Kasimpasa	25	4	9	12	-15	-11.0	21
17	Kayserispor	25	3	11	11	-27	-12.3	20
18	Karagumruk	26	4	5	17	-22	-12.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	10	3	0	+24	+17.9	33
2	Fenerbahce	12	8	4	0	+15	+18.6	28
3	Trabzonspor	12	7	4	1	+12	+7.3	25
4	Besiktas	13	7	3	3	+8	+13.2	24
5	Goztep	12	6	5	1	+9	+4.1	23
6	Kocaelispor	14	6	3	5	+3	+5.5	21
7	Buyuksehyr	13	5	5	3	+6	-0.9	20
8	Genclerbirligi	12	5	4	3	+3	+2.0	19
9	Rizespor	13	5	2	6	-4	+5.0	17
10	Alanyaspor	13	4	4	5	+0	-1.8	16
11	Gaziantep	13	4	4	5	-5	+3.4	16
12	Konyaspor	13	3	6	4	+0	+3.4	15
13	Samsunspor	12	3	6	3	-3	+5.4	15
14	Eyüpspor	13	3	4	6	-7	-4.4	13
15	Karagumruk	13	3	3	7	-7	-1.6	12
16	Antalyaspor	13	3	3	7	-13	-8.2	12
17	Kayserispor	12	2	3	7	-17	-3.5	9
18	Kasimpasa	12	1	5	6	-9	-0.8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	14	8	5	1	+15	+7.4	29
2	Trabzonspor	13	9	2	2	+10	-1.1	29
3	Galatasaray	12	9	1	2	+17	+8.6	28
4	Buyuksehyr	12	7	1	4	+11	+6.4	22
5	Besiktas	12	6	4	2	+7	+9.4	22
6	Goztep	13	5	4	4	+1	+0.2	19
7	Samsunspor	13	4	5	4	+0	+0.8	17
8	Gaziantep	13	4	5	4	-2	-5.5	17
9	Rizespor	12	2	7	3	+1	-4.3	13
10	Kasimpasa	13	3	4	6	-6	-10.2	13
11	Antalyaspor	13	3	3	7	-5	-12.5	12
12	Kocaelispor	12	3	3	6	-7	-7.4	12
13	Konyaspor	13	3	3	7	-9	-6.5	12
14	Alanyaspor	12	1	8	3	-4	-5.9	11
15	Kayserispor	13	1	8	4	-10	-8.8	11
16	Eyüpspor	12	2	3	7	-10	-10.9	9
17	Genclerbirligi	13	1	3	9	-9	-14.1	6
18	Karagumruk	13	1	2	10	-15	-10.4	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.