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Super League

Referee: R Obrenović

PAOK

S S S T T

0–1

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — Super League · 29/26 matches

Win Ø 56%

66%

46%

Points per game

2,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

66%

42%

Both score Ø 44%

45%

42%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

74% Possession 26%

12 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 4. · Aris Thessalonikis 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	29	19	9	1	+40	66
2	Olympiakos	29	20	3	6	+36	63
3	Panathinaikos	29	19	5	5	+43	62
4	PAOK	29	19	4	6	+43	61
5	Aris	27	13	6	8	+11	45
6	Aris Thessalonikis	26	12	6	8	+10	42
7	Lamia	29	10	8	11	-12	38
8	Asteras Tripolis	28	10	4	14	-10	34
9	Atromitos	28	7	10	11	-15	31
10	Panserraikos	28	6	10	12	-18	28
11	OFI Crete	28	6	10	12	-18	28
12	Panetolikos	28	4	8	16	-27	20
13	Kifisia	28	3	11	14	-29	20
14	Volos NFC	28	4	8	16	-29	20
15	Giannina	28	3	10	15	-25	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	14	11	3	0	+24	36
2	Panathinaikos	14	10	3	1	+27	33
3	Olympiakos	15	11	0	4	+24	33
4	PAOK	15	10	3	2	+23	33
5	Aris Thessalonikis	13	8	3	2	+10	27
6	Aris	13	8	3	2	+10	27
7	OFI Crete	14	6	5	3	+5	23
8	Lamia	15	7	2	6	-3	23
9	Asteras Tripolis	14	6	3	5	-3	21
10	Panserraikos	14	4	7	3	-1	19
11	Atromitos	14	4	6	4	-4	18
12	Panetolikos	14	4	3	7	-11	15
13	Giannina	14	2	6	6	-8	12
14	Kifisia	14	2	6	6	-9	12
15	Volos NFC	14	3	3	8	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	15	8	6	1	+16	30
2	Olympiakos	14	9	3	2	+12	30
3	Panathinaikos	15	9	2	4	+16	29
4	PAOK	14	9	1	4	+20	28
5	Aris	14	5	3	6	+1	18
6	Aris Thessalonikis	13	4	3	6	+0	15
7	Lamia	14	3	6	5	-9	15
8	Asteras Tripolis	14	4	1	9	-7	13
9	Atromitos	14	3	4	7	-11	13
10	Panserraikos	14	2	3	9	-17	9
11	Volos NFC	14	1	5	8	-18	8
12	Kifisia	14	1	5	8	-20	8
13	Giannina	14	1	4	9	-17	7
14	Panetolikos	14	0	5	9	-16	5
15	OFI Crete	14	0	5	9	-23	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.