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Super League
Referee: K Katoikos
3–1
Full-time
Giannina
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Giannina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,2
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Super League · 25/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
44%
15%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
52%
52%
Both score Ø 46%
32%
59%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

73% Possession 27%
23 Shots 4
10 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 7. · Giannina 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 27 21 2 4 +44 65
2 Panathinaikos 27 20 4 3 +26 64
3 Olympiakos 27 16 8 3 +37 56
4 PAOK 27 15 10 2 +28 55
5 Volos NFC 27 12 6 9 -7 42
6 Aris 26 12 4 10 +14 40
7 Aris Thessalonikis 25 11 4 10 +12 37
8 Panetolikos 28 8 8 12 -11 32
9 Atromitos 27 7 9 11 -3 30
10 OFI Crete 27 6 9 12 -12 27
11 Asteras Tripolis 28 4 13 11 -16 25
12 Giannina 27 4 11 12 -21 23
13 Ionikos 28 5 6 17 -26 21
14 Lamia 28 3 11 14 -36 20
15 Levadeiakos 27 2 9 16 -29 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Giannina
7′
A. Liasos 0–1
P. Tzimas
1–1 V. Darida
M. García
26′
41′
🟨 Carles Soria
2–1 M. García
Rafael Camacho
43′
Marvin Peersman 🟨
45′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 A. Kamara
Rafael Camacho
58′
75′
🔁 G. Bortagaray
↦ R. Erramuspe
B. Mazikou 🔁
↦ M. Peersman
76′
J. Iturbe 🔁
↦ Rafael Camacho
76′
82′
🔁 A. Stamatelopoulos
↦ P. Tzimas
A. Gray 🔁
↦ A. Kamara
89′
B. Dabo 🔁
↦ L. Palma
89′
R. Sgouros 🔁
↦ C. Doukouré
90′
90′
🔁 I. Kyrkos
↦ D. Rienstra
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

99 M. Siampanis G
2 S. M'Bakata D
4 Fabiano D
14 J. Brabec D
43 M. Peersman D
8 C. Doukouré M
16 V. Darida M
64 Rafael Camacho M
10 M. García M
17 L. Palma M
47 A. Kamara F
Bench (9)
18 B. Mazikou
11 J. Iturbe
9 A. Gray
6 B. Dabo
88 R. Sgouros
7 L. Christodoulopoulos
3 N. Nkoulou
77 M. Panagidis
23 Julián

Giannina

4-4-2
16 P. Tsintotas G
2 Carles Soria D
45 M. Bakadimas D
15 R. Erramuspe D
24 A. Radu D
21 P. Tzimas M
80 A. Liasos M
6 Iker Bilbao M
7 A. Mendes Moreira M
91 C. Bălan F
23 D. Rienstra F
Bench (9)
25 G. Bortagaray
88 A. Stamatelopoulos
70 I. Kyrkos
22 A. Tsavos
18 M. Fofana
17 J. Leo
64 V. Soulis
8 A. Lolis
32 A. Tsiris

Coach: T. Staikos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Katoikos · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.