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Super League

Referee: M Mariani

AEK

S T S S S

1–3

Full-time

Olympiakos

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Olympiakos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

2,0

2,8

Conceded

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+2,5

This season — Super League · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 69%

78%

59%

Points per game

2,4

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

48%

44%

Both score Ø 32%

22%

41%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,9

Conceded

0,4

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

73% Possession 27%

15 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 0

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match AEK 1. · Olympiakos 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	27	21	2	4	+44	65
2	Panathinaikos	27	20	4	3	+26	64
3	Olympiakos	27	16	8	3	+37	56
4	PAOK	27	15	10	2	+28	55
5	Volos NFC	27	12	6	9	-7	42
6	Aris	26	12	4	10	+14	40
7	Aris Thessalonikis	25	11	4	10	+12	37
8	Panetolikos	28	8	8	12	-11	32
9	Atromitos	27	7	9	11	-3	30
10	OFI Crete	27	6	9	12	-12	27
11	Asteras Tripolis	28	4	13	11	-16	25
12	Giannina	27	4	11	12	-21	23
13	Ionikos	28	5	6	17	-26	21
14	Lamia	28	3	11	14	-36	20
15	Levadeiakos	27	2	9	16	-29	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	13	12	0	1	+28	36
2	Panathinaikos	14	11	2	1	+14	35
3	Olympiakos	14	10	3	1	+26	33
4	PAOK	14	10	3	1	+18	33
5	Aris	13	9	2	2	+17	29
6	Aris Thessalonikis	12	8	2	2	+15	26
7	Atromitos	13	5	6	2	+5	21
8	Asteras Tripolis	14	4	8	2	+3	20
9	Volos NFC	13	6	2	5	-5	20
10	Panetolikos	14	4	4	6	-5	16
11	Giannina	14	3	6	5	-10	15
12	Ionikos	14	3	5	6	-9	14
13	Lamia	14	3	4	7	-15	13
14	Levadeiakos	13	2	6	5	-7	12
15	OFI Crete	14	2	4	8	-14	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	14	9	2	3	+16	29
2	Panathinaikos	13	9	2	2	+12	29
3	Olympiakos	13	6	5	2	+11	23
4	PAOK	13	5	7	1	+10	22
5	Volos NFC	14	6	4	4	-2	22
6	OFI Crete	13	4	5	4	+2	17
7	Panetolikos	14	4	4	6	-6	16
8	Aris Thessalonikis	13	3	2	8	-3	11
9	Aris	13	3	2	8	-3	11
10	Atromitos	14	2	3	9	-8	9
11	Giannina	13	1	5	7	-11	8
12	Ionikos	14	2	1	11	-17	7
13	Lamia	14	0	7	7	-21	7
14	Asteras Tripolis	14	0	5	9	-19	5
15	Levadeiakos	14	0	3	11	-22	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.