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Süper Lig
Referee: A Bitigen
Trabzonspor
S T S T T
4–1
Full-time
Ad. Demirspor
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Ad. Demirspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Süper Lig · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 48%
48%
48%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
48%
65%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,9
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%
15 Shots 21
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 9
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Trabzonspor 6. · Ad. Demirspor 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 24 19 3 2 +34 60
2 Fenerbahce 23 16 3 4 +33 51
3 Besiktas 23 12 7 4 +16 43
4 Ad. Demirspor 23 11 9 3 +21 42
5 Buyuksehyr 22 12 4 6 +10 40
6 Trabzonspor 23 11 5 7 +4 38
7 Kayserispor 24 11 2 11 +0 35
8 Konyaspor 24 7 10 7 +1 31
9 Karagumruk 23 7 9 7 +4 30
10 Antalyaspor 24 8 4 12 -6 28
11 Alanyaspor 24 7 7 10 -9 28
12 Gaziantep 24 6 7 11 -5 25
13 Ankaragücü 23 7 4 12 -8 25
14 Kasimpasa 24 7 4 13 -13 25
15 Sivasspor 23 6 6 11 -6 24
16 Giresunspor 24 5 8 11 -19 23
17 Hatayspor 23 6 5 12 -25 23
18 Ümraniyespor 24 5 6 13 -10 21
19 İstanbulspor 22 6 3 13 -22 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Trabzonspor Ad. Demirspor
1–0 Y. Yazıcı
8′
Bruno Peres 🟨
21′
22′
🟥 Younès Belhanda
22′
ℹ️ Younès Belhanda
VAR: Card upgrade
34′
🔁 C. Ndiaye
↦ Y. Sarı
34′
🔁 J. Morel
↦ D. Akintola
Half-time 1–1
46′
P. N'Diaye 1–1
J. Svensson
L. Marković 🔁
↦ D. Haspolat
46′
U. Bozok 🔁
↦ E. Bardhi
59′
M. Hamšík 🔁
↦ Y. Yazıcı
70′
75′
🔁 F. Soyalp
↦ E. Akbaba
E. Elmalı 🔁
↦ J. Stryger Larsen
76′
E. Višća 🔁
↦ E. Siopis
76′
2–1 Vitor Hugo
E. Višća
78′
3–1 E. Višća
81′
87′
🔁 F. Gulbrandsen
↦ B. Stambouli
4–1 U. Bozok
E. Elmalı
94′
98′
🟨 Cherif Ndiaye
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Trabzonspor

4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır G
33 Bruno Peres D
3 Marc Bartra D
13 Vitor Hugo D
19 J. Stryger Larsen D
34 D. Haspolat M
6 E. Siopis M
10 A. Ömür M
61 Y. Yazıcı M
29 E. Bardhi M
30 M. Gómez F
Bench (10)
50 L. Marković
9 U. Bozok
17 M. Hamšík
18 E. Elmalı
7 E. Višća
22 T. Altıkardeş
25 J. Gbamin
4 H. Türkmen
80 M. Lahtimi
54 T. Tepe

Coach: O. Ak

Ad. Demirspor

4-4-2
25 E. Özbir G
22 J. Svensson D
45 M. Çetin D
4 S. Güler D
77 Kévin Rodrigues D
26 Y. Sarı M
90 B. Stambouli M
17 P. N'Diaye M
11 D. Akintola M
20 E. Akbaba F
10 Y. Belhanda F
Bench (10)
29 C. Ndiaye
5 J. Morel
27 F. Soyalp
23 F. Gulbrandsen
15 J. Manev
18 G. Karačić
16 İ. Çokçalış
3 A. Dursun
88 G. İnler
70 K. Soni

Coach: V. Montella

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,89
B
4,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,07
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Bitigen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.